Award Abstract # 2408987
DISES: Dynamics of socio-environmental factors driving resilience of coastal fisheries: integrating feedbacks between livelihoods, human behavior, climate, and fish ecology

NSF Org: RISE
Integrative and Collaborative Education and Research (ICER)
Recipient: VIRGINIA POLYTECHNIC INSTITUTE & STATE UNIVERSITY
Initial Amendment Date: August 25, 2024
Latest Amendment Date: August 25, 2024
Award Number: 2408987
Award Instrument: Standard Grant
Program Manager: Richard Yuretich
ryuretic@nsf.gov
 (703)292-4744
RISE
 Integrative and Collaborative Education and Research (ICER)
GEO
 Directorate for Geosciences
Start Date: September 1, 2024
End Date: August 31, 2029 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $1,793,583.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $1,793,583.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2024 = $1,793,583.00
History of Investigator:
  • Holly Kindsvater (Principal Investigator)
    hkindsvater@vt.edu
  • Gavin Fay (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Craig Ramseyer (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Willandia Chaves (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Fernando Goncalves (Co-Principal Investigator)
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
300 TURNER ST NW
BLACKSBURG
VA  US  24060-3359
(540)231-5281
Sponsor Congressional District: 09
Primary Place of Performance: Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
300 TURNER ST NW
BLACKSBURG
VA  US  24060-3359
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
09
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): QDE5UHE5XD16
Parent UEI: X6KEFGLHSJX7
NSF Program(s): DYN COUPLED NATURAL-HUMAN
Primary Program Source: 01002425DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 1691, 9278, EGCH
Program Element Code(s): 169100
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.050

ABSTRACT

The recreational and commercial fisheries for summer flounder (Paralichthys dentatus) produce hundreds of millions of dollars in revenue to coastal economies in the mid-Atlantic and Northeast US. Recent changes in geographic distribution and dramatic fluctuations in the productivity of summer flounder, as a result of climate change and intense fishing pressure, have directly affected charter-boat captains, commercial seafood fishers, processors, dealers, and recreational fishers. Little is known about the behavioral and economic responses of policy makers and fishers to fluctuations in abundance and the total allowable catch. There has been a general movement in flounder abundance from south to north along the Atlantic coast in recent years, and this migration provides a rich opportunity to determine in detail the feedbacks between climate, fish ecology, policy regulations, and fishers who rely on summer flounder for their livelihoods, nutrition, and recreation This research will help to develop recommendations for policy solutions that meet multiple sustainability benchmarks, such as ecological sustainability, nutritional provisioning, and economic sustainability.

This project will address the interactions between fish abundance, limits on allowable catch, and fish ecology from four perspectives. (1) Social scientists will use panel surveys and in-person interviews, working with community partners, to identify the fishery?s ecosystem services, its influence on human well-being, and how these have been altered as waters have warmed and the population distribution has changed. A key goal is to determine how recreational anglers have responded to recent management actions put in place in response to the changes in flounder ecology. Attitudes toward the fairness of management and level of compliance could potentially reveal aspects of angler behavior that are currently unknown to management agencies and could explain recent struggles to manage the resource effectively. (2) Economists will use analysis of contributions of the commercial flounder fishery to coastal economies to understand the consequences of changes in management. Instability in the annual flounder catch limit due to changes in flounder abundance, as well as a mismatch between historic policy and the current distribution of flounder, have changed the economic contributions of the resource. This research will better illuminate how policymakers can manage the fishery to promote resilience in both human and ecological communities. (3) Climate scientists will determine the mechanisms linking climate and oceanographic variables to population dynamics of summer flounder using existing data on relative flounder abundance and ocean conditions. This research will investigate how variable oceanic conditions determine annual variability of juvenile flounder numbers, which will reveal how climate-driven changes in oceanography affect population ecology. (4) An advisory committee with representatives from state and federal entities involved in coastal fisheries will meet each year to synthesize the social and economic data with the results from the climate analyses. These meetings will lead to predictions of the responses of this multi-faceted system under future scenarios of climate change.

This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

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