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Award Abstract # 2404109
APTO: Collaborative Research: Global Observatory and Virtual Laboratory for Science and Technology Advance

NSF Org: TF
Technology Frontiers
Recipient: UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO
Initial Amendment Date: June 20, 2024
Latest Amendment Date: December 9, 2024
Award Number: 2404109
Award Instrument: Cooperative Agreement
Program Manager: Jeff Alstott
TF
 Technology Frontiers
TIP
 Directorate for Technology, Innovation, and Partnerships
Start Date: July 1, 2024
End Date: June 30, 2029 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $20,000,000.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $3,998,231.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2024 = $3,998,231.00
History of Investigator:
  • James Evans (Principal Investigator)
    jevans@uchicago.edu
  • Ian Foster (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Ufuk Akcigit (Co-Principal Investigator)
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: University of Chicago
5801 S ELLIS AVE
CHICAGO
IL  US  60637-5418
(773)702-8669
Sponsor Congressional District: 01
Primary Place of Performance: University of Chicago
5801 S ELLIS AVE
CHICAGO
IL  US  60637-5418
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
01
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): ZUE9HKT2CLC9
Parent UEI: ZUE9HKT2CLC9
NSF Program(s): APTO-Assess-Predict Tech Outcm
Primary Program Source: 01002324DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
01002526DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT

01002627DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT

01002728DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT

01002829DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s):
Program Element Code(s): 267Y00
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.084

ABSTRACT

Over the past half-century, the global geopolitical balance of scientific, technological, and economic leadership has shifted, with China?s meteoric rise and the ascendance of new powers including Korea and India. Technological leadership requires driving advances and setting standards that catalyze the future of global productivity. To understand pathways that enhance U.S. competitiveness in critical technology capacity, production, and use, this project will create a global observatory and virtual laboratory for U.S. science and technology in the context of global advancement. It will produce data sets and technology outcome models that capture the complex and emergent interdependencies among technologies; the funders, resources, researchers, and universities that catalyze and invent them; the workforces and organizations that produce them; and the markets that consume them. Drawing upon the power of deep neural network ?transformer? architectures, the project will then build a deep-learned, chronologically trained, large language model (LLM) to function as a data-driven ?digital double? of the global techno-scientific system.

The LLM will embed research artifacts (e.g., articles, patents, products, related news, and their rich meta-data) in a high-dimensional space, mapping them to quantitative metrics of technology capability, production, and use. The project team will fine-tune our LLMs to capture changes in key metrics as corresponding trajectories within embedding space, and thus enable them to function as 1) a global observatory for technology catalysis, capacity, production, and use; and 2) a virtual laboratory for simulated experiments that can guide 3) causal estimation of relationships among policy levers (funding, competition, immigration), technology performance, and global leadership. They will also tune the LLMs and related models to enable customized extraction, structuring, and disambiguation of data on research, products, funding, and policy from novel sources to enrich modeled observations and predictions, which will enable the continuous incorporation of additional data and extraction of insight. Finally, they will use the models as resources for scientists and policymakers by building dashboards to provide funding agencies, policymakers, and researchers with the situational awareness required to improve the quality and diversification of their technology development portfolios.

This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

Please report errors in award information by writing to: awardsearch@nsf.gov.

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