Award Abstract # 2336328
Modeling the Coupled Dynamics of Groundwater, Subglacial Hydrology and Ice Sheets

NSF Org: OPP
Office of Polar Programs (OPP)
Recipient: THE TRUSTEES OF COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY IN THE CITY OF NEW YORK
Initial Amendment Date: August 26, 2024
Latest Amendment Date: August 26, 2024
Award Number: 2336328
Award Instrument: Standard Grant
Program Manager: Kelly Brunt
kbrunt@nsf.gov
 (703)292-0000
OPP
 Office of Polar Programs (OPP)
GEO
 Directorate for Geosciences
Start Date: September 1, 2024
End Date: August 31, 2026 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $356,512.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $356,512.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2024 = $356,512.00
History of Investigator:
  • Stacy Larochelle (Principal Investigator)
    stacyl@ldeo.columbia.edu
  • Jonathan Kingslake (Co-Principal Investigator)
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: Columbia University
615 W 131ST ST
NEW YORK
NY  US  10027-7922
(212)854-6851
Sponsor Congressional District: 13
Primary Place of Performance: Columbia University
61 RTE 9W
Palisades
NY  US  10964-8000
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
17
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): F4N1QNPB95M4
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): ANT Glaciology
Primary Program Source: 0100CYXXDB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 5116, 5294
Program Element Code(s): 511600
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.078

ABSTRACT

Ice sheets lose ice mass through gravity-driven flow to the ocean where ice breaks into icebergs and melts, contributing to global sea level rise. Water commonly found at the base of ice sheets facilitates this process by lubricating the ice-rock interface. The recent discovery of vast, kilometer-thick groundwater reservoirs beneath the Antarctic Ice Sheet thus raises important questions about the potential impact of groundwater on ice flow. It has been hypothesized that groundwater flow to the ice-sheet bed may accelerate ice flow as the ice sheet shrinks in response to global warming. Evaluating this hypothesis is challenging due to poorly understood interactions between water, ice, and rock, but is crucial for anticipating the response of ice sheets and sea level to climate change. Understanding how groundwater responds to a changing ice sheet also has important implications for the heat, chemical elements, and microorganisms it stores and transports.

To assess the impact of groundwater processes on ice dynamics, a new idealized modeling framework will be developed, incorporating several novel hydromechanical couplings between ice sheets, subglacial drainage systems, and groundwater aquifers. This framework will enable testing the hypotheses that (1) aquifers decelerate ice mass loss in the absence of a well-developed subglacial drainage system, but that (2) an efficient, channelized drainage system can reduce and even reverse this decelerating effect, and that (3) the impact of these phenomena is most pronounced for steep ice flowing rapidly over thick sedimentary basins and depends in a complex way on aquifer permeability. Existing geodetic, seismic, and other geophysical datasets at well-studied Thwaites Glacier and Whillans Ice Stream will be used to constrain model parameters and investigate the impact of groundwater processes in contrasting glaciologic settings. This work will help rule out or highlight subglacial groundwater as one of the next major challenges for efforts to predict the future of the Antarctic Ice Sheet and sea-level rise on decadal to millennial timescales. The project will contribute to educating the next generation of scientists by supporting an early-career PI and a graduate student, as well as participation in a field and research educational program in Alaska and the production of chapters for an online, open-source, free interactive textbook.

This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

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