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Award Abstract # 2210849
Scalable Algorithm Design for Unbiased Estimation via Couplings of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods

NSF Org: DMS
Division Of Mathematical Sciences
Recipient: RUTGERS, THE STATE UNIVERSITY
Initial Amendment Date: June 13, 2022
Latest Amendment Date: July 22, 2024
Award Number: 2210849
Award Instrument: Continuing Grant
Program Manager: Yong Zeng
yzeng@nsf.gov
 (703)292-7299
DMS
 Division Of Mathematical Sciences
MPS
 Directorate for Mathematical and Physical Sciences
Start Date: July 1, 2022
End Date: June 30, 2026 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $200,000.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $200,000.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2022 = $23,291.00
FY 2023 = $87,049.00

FY 2024 = $89,660.00
History of Investigator:
  • Guanyang Wang (Principal Investigator)
    guanyang.wang@rutgers.edu
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: Rutgers University New Brunswick
3 RUTGERS PLZ
NEW BRUNSWICK
NJ  US  08901-8559
(848)932-0150
Sponsor Congressional District: 12
Primary Place of Performance: Rutgers University New Brunswick
110 Frelinghuysen Road
Piscataway
NJ  US  08854-8019
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
06
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): M1LVPE5GLSD9
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): STATISTICS
Primary Program Source: 01002223DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
01002425DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT

01002324DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s):
Program Element Code(s): 126900
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.049

ABSTRACT

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods have revolutionized statistics and data science in the past several decades. These methods are routinely used for simulation and numerical integration in nearly all scientific areas. In practice, however, parallel implementation is a long-standing bottleneck for Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Existing Monte Carlo estimators generally suffer from bias, which precludes their direct use of modern parallel computing devices. This project aims to design a new framework to construct unbiased estimators based on Markov chain Monte Carlo outputs. Results of the project will advance the development of unbiased estimators and efficient algorithms that can scale up for massive datasets. The new method will empower practitioners in scientific fields such as chemistry, biology, and computer science that face high-dimensional simulation problems. This project will provide training opportunities to undergraduate and graduate students.

The technical goals of this project include two interconnected aspects. The first focus is on unbiased estimators for general simulation-based inference problems by combining the idea of the existing unbiased Markov chain Monte Carlo and Multilevel Monte Carlo methods. The second aspect focuses on designing fast algorithms for unbiased estimation. The efficiency of the developed method relies on the underlying Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm and the design of a coupling strategy between the two Markov chains. This project will theoretically investigate the convergence speed of different existing algorithms and develop practical, implementable algorithms. The new method will be applied to solve problems arising from diverse areas such as operation research, optimization, and machine learning.

This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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Wang, Tianze and Wang, Guanyang "Unbiased Multilevel Monte Carlo Methods for Intractable Distributions: MLMC Meets MCMC" Journal of machine learning research , 2023 Citation Details
Qin, Qian and Wang, Guanyang "Spectral telescope: Convergence rate bounds for random-scan Gibbs samplers based on a hierarchical structure" The Annals of Applied Probability , v.34 , 2024 https://doi.org/10.1214/23-AAP1992 Citation Details
OLeary, John and Wang, Guanyang "MetropolisHastings transition kernel couplings" Annales de l'Institut Henri Poincaré, Probabilités et Statistiques , v.60 , 2024 https://doi.org/10.1214/22-AIHP1360 Citation Details
Zhou, Zhengqing and Wang, Guanyang and Blanchet, Jose H. and Glynn, Peter W. "Unbiased Optimal Stopping via the MUSE" Stochastic Processes and their Applications , 2022 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spa.2022.12.007 Citation Details

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