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Award Abstract # 2033467
Understanding Heat-transfer Regimes in Past, Present and Future Climates

NSF Org: AGS
Division of Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences
Recipient: UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO
Initial Amendment Date: January 25, 2021
Latest Amendment Date: May 20, 2021
Award Number: 2033467
Award Instrument: Standard Grant
Program Manager: Eric DeWeaver
edeweave@nsf.gov
 (703)292-8527
AGS
 Division of Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences
GEO
 Directorate for Geosciences
Start Date: February 1, 2021
End Date: January 31, 2024 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $574,359.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $574,359.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2021 = $574,359.00
History of Investigator:
  • Tiffany Shaw (Principal Investigator)
    tas1@uchicago.edu
  • Malte Jansen (Co-Principal Investigator)
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: University of Chicago
5801 S ELLIS AVE
CHICAGO
IL  US  60637-5418
(773)702-8669
Sponsor Congressional District: 01
Primary Place of Performance: University of Chicago
5734 S Ellis Ave
Chicago
IL  US  60637-2612
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
01
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): ZUE9HKT2CLC9
Parent UEI: ZUE9HKT2CLC9
NSF Program(s): Climate & Large-Scale Dynamics
Primary Program Source: 01002122DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s):
Program Element Code(s): 574000
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.050

ABSTRACT

The Earth's climate is a product of heat transfer, as the warming effect of heat energy gains, including the latent heat released in precipitation, must over time be balanced by equal heat losses to achieve a persistent climate state in any given region. An atmospheric column can transfer heat energy through its top and bottom by radiation, for instance when it cools by emitting infrared radiation to space, and by evaporation and thermal conduction at the Earth's surface. Lateral heat transfer is also critical, as in the tropics the Earth receives more energy from the sun than it radiates back to space and the opposite is true near the poles. Thus the tropics must export heat energy to the poles to balance the budgets of both regions.

Work under this award seeks to understand atmospheric heat transfer in low, middle, and high latitudes, considering both changes in heat transfer over the the seasonal cycle and differences in heat transfer between warmer and colder climates. For example simulations of modern climate show strong seasonal variations in latitudinal heat balances, with radiation largely balancing local evaporation and surface heat conduction in the middle latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere in summer, while lateral heat transfer is more prominent in other seasons. The situation is quite different in simulations of the "snowball earth" climate, where lateral transfer is prominent throughout the year over most of the globe. The underlying mechanisms that determine atmospheric heat balances in different climates, and drive changes in heat balances during transitions between climate states, are explored through analysis of existing simulations and through novel simulations using a variety of model configurations.

Heat transport plays an essential role in maintaining Earth's climate, and research on the topic has societal value given the need to better understand how the climate system works and how it is likely to change under the influence of greenhouse gas increases and changes in aerosol pollution. The project also provides support and training for a graduate student and an undergraduate, the latter recruited through a campus-wide program dedicated to increasing participation of underrepresented minorities in scientific research.

This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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"Quantifying Energy Balance Regimes in the Modern Climate, Their Link to Lapse Rate Regimes, and Their Response to Warming" Journal of Climate , v.35 , 2022 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0440.1 Citation Details
Fan, Bowen and Jansen, Malte F. and Mischna, Michael A. and Kite, Edwin S. "Why Are Mountaintops Cold? The Transition of Surface Lapse Rate on Dry Planets" Geophysical Research Letters , v.50 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106683 Citation Details
Miyawaki, O. and Shaw, T. A. and Jansen, M. F. "The emergence of a new wintertime Arctic energy balance regime" Environmental Research: Climate , v.2 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/aced63 Citation Details

PROJECT OUTCOMES REPORT

Disclaimer

This Project Outcomes Report for the General Public is displayed verbatim as submitted by the Principal Investigator (PI) for this award. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this Report are those of the PI and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation; NSF has not approved or endorsed its content.

The Earth’s climate and its response to climate change is controlled by distinct forms of energy transfer, including by radiation, advection (bulk movement of the fluid horizontally) and convection (bulk movement of the fluid vertically). The importance of different forms of energy transfer varies in space, particularly in laltitude and can change in time both seasonally and into the future under climate change. This project focused on quantifying the forms of energy transfer in the current climate and using that to understand the response to climate change. On seasonal timescales the results showed that in the tropics the dominant balance is between radiation and convection whereas over the pole the dominant balance is between radiation and advection. Seasonal transitions occur in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes between winter when all forms of energy transfer matter and summer when only radiation and convection dominate. Seasonality in the Southern Hemisphere midlatitudes was negligible. These results applied to both observations and state-of-the-art climate models. Idealized aquaplanet simulations were used to understand the differences in energy transfer as a function of latitude, hemisphere and season. The idealized simulations show that when the dominant balance is between radiation and convection in aquaplanet simulations without land, the temperature profile is close to what we would expect under adjustment by moist convection. Furthermore, polar sea ice is critical for the dominant balance over the poles between radiation and advection, which leads to a stable stratification of the temperature profile in that region. Idealized simulations with varying surface heat capacity showed that the seasonal transition in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes is the result of a lower surface heat capacity (land and ocean) versus a muted seasonality in the Southern Hemisphere due to a larger heat capacity through ocean energy storage.

            The results further showed that the energy transfer regimes in the present climate can be used to interpret the response to warming. In particular, regions where radiation and convection dominate are associated with a warming response that is largest in the upper troposphere. Whereas regions where radiation and advection dominate are associated with a warming response that is largest at the surface. In addition, in the Arctic there is an energy transfer regime transition that is associated with Arctic Sea ice loss. The transition involves an increase in convective precipitation in the Arctic. A transient regime transition was also noted over the Southern Ocean, driven in large parts by strong ocean heat uptake. However this transition was only found for much larger changes in carbon dioxide concentration that will likely not be reached in the future.

 

The broader impact outcomes of this project include the training of two graduate students in atmospheric and climate dynamics and one undergraduate student.


Last Modified: 05/17/2024
Modified by: Tiffany A Shaw

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