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Award Abstract # 1945013
CAREER: Do Species Track Climate? Paleoecology to Disentangle Niche Dynamics

NSF Org: EAR
Division Of Earth Sciences
Recipient: GEORGIA TECH RESEARCH CORP
Initial Amendment Date: January 29, 2020
Latest Amendment Date: August 9, 2023
Award Number: 1945013
Award Instrument: Continuing Grant
Program Manager: Yurena Yanes
yyanes@nsf.gov
 (703)292-0000
EAR
 Division Of Earth Sciences
GEO
 Directorate for Geosciences
Start Date: February 1, 2020
End Date: January 31, 2026 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $636,409.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $699,341.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2020 = $312,441.00
FY 2022 = $277,751.00

FY 2023 = $109,149.00
History of Investigator:
  • Jenny McGuire (Principal Investigator)
    jmcguire@biology.gatech.edu
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: Georgia Tech Research Corporation
926 DALNEY ST NW
ATLANTA
GA  US  30318-6395
(404)894-4819
Sponsor Congressional District: 05
Primary Place of Performance: Georgia Institute of Technology
225 North Avenue NW
Atlanta
GA  US  30332-0230
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
05
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): EMW9FC8J3HN4
Parent UEI: EMW9FC8J3HN4
NSF Program(s): Population & Community Ecology,
XC-Crosscutting Activities Pro,
Sedimentary Geo & Paleobiology
Primary Program Source: 01002021DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
01002223DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT

01002324DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT

01002425DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 1045, 7459
Program Element Code(s): 112800, 722200, 745900
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.050, 47.074

ABSTRACT

Climate is an important factor in determining why plants and animals live where they do. When climate shifts, we anticipate that plants and animals may be forced to track their preferred climates across the landscape. Identifying the extent to which plants and animals will respond to changing climate is one of the most pressing questions in ecology and conservation biology today. To meet this challenge, this project will examine past responses to environmental change on both the continental scale and at the site level. The core of the outreach activities will bring the fossil discovery experience to students and the public while demonstrating the effects of climate change on ecological systems. These opportunities will reach people from across the broader Atlanta community, in addition to East African undergraduate students who participate in workshops facilitated by the Conservation Paleobiology in Africa program.

This research will estimate the ?climate fidelity? that individual mammal and plant biomes have exhibited since the last glaciation. It will calculate the extent to which observed changes in the climates that plants and animals occupy correspond with the climates of urban and agricultural regions, creating a ?human tolerance index.? Using these methods, it will demonstrate how much climate drives range determination across trophic levels by comparing the relative fidelity of plants versus animals. By examining ecosystem responses to a major drought at Natural Trap Cave, Wyoming, researchers can test hypotheses about long-term ecosystem responses to precipitation while validating predicted species-level climate responses. By understanding how species respond to changing climate, we can identify which species and strategies to prioritize in order to conserve biodiversity going forward.

This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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(Showing: 1 - 10 of 23)
Lauer, Daniel A. and Lawing, A. Michelle and Short, Rachel A. and Manthi, Fredrick K. and Müller, Johannes and Head, Jason J. and McGuire, Jenny L. "Disruption of trait-environment relationships in African megafauna occurred in the middle Pleistocene" Nature Communications , v.14 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39480-8 Citation Details
Lauer, Daniel A. and McGuire, Jenny L. "Africas ecosystems exhibit a tradeoff between resistance and stability following disturbances" Environmental Research Letters , v.18 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acde90 Citation Details
Lauer, Daniel A. and Shipley, Benjamin R. and McGuire, Jenny L. "Habitat and not topographic heterogeneity constrains the range sizes of African mammals" Journal of Biogeography , v.50 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.14576 Citation Details
Lawing, A.M. and Blois, J. and Maguire, K. and Goring, S. and Wang, Y and McGuire, J.L. "Occupancy models reveal regional differences in detectability and improve relative abundance estimations in fossil pollen assemblages." Quaternary science reviews , v.253 , 2021 https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2020.106747 Citation Details
Lawing, A. Michelle and Blois, Jessica L. and Maguire, Kaitlin C. and Goring, Simon J. and Wang, Yue and McGuire, Jenny L. "Occupancy models reveal regional differences in detectability and improve relative abundance estimations in fossil pollen assemblages" Quaternary Science Reviews , v.253 , 2021 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2020.106747 Citation Details
Lovelace, David M. and Redman, Cory M. and Minckley, Thomas A. and Schubert, Blaine W. and Mahan, Shannon and Wood, John R. and McGuire, Jenny L. and Laden, Juan and Bitterman, Kathleen and Heiniger, Holly and Fenderson, Lindsey and Cooper, Alan and Mitch "An age-depth model and revised stratigraphy of vertebrate-bearing units in Natural Trap Cave, Wyoming" Quaternary International , v.647-648 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2022.02.008 Citation Details
Mahan, Shannon and Wood, John R. and Lovelace, David M. and Laden, Juan and McGuire, Jenny L. and Meachen, Julie A. "Luminescence ages and new interpretations of the timing and deposition of Quaternary sediments at Natural Trap Cave, Wyoming" Quaternary International , v.647-648 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2022.01.005 Citation Details
McGuire, Jenny L. and Lawing, A. Michelle and Díaz, Sandra and Stenseth, Nils Chr. "The past as a lens for biodiversity conservation on a dynamically changing planet" Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , v.120 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2201950120 Citation Details
McGuire, Jenny L. and Shipley, Benjamin R. "Dynamic priorities for conserving species" Science , v.376 , 2022 https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abq0788 Citation Details
McGuire, Jenny L. and Woodruff, Aaron and Iacono, Jennifer and Sethna, Jadyn M. and Schap, Julia A. and Redman, Cory M. and Meachen, Julie A. "Evaluating the taphonomic consistency of microvertebrate assemblages at Natural Trap Cave, Wyoming, USA" Quaternary International , v.647-648 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2022.02.009 Citation Details
Meachen, Julie A. and McGuire, Jenny L. "Natural Trap Cave, Wyoming, U.S.A. Records a Detailed Faunal, Floral, aDNA, Isotopic, and Geologic Record of the Late Quaternary" Quaternary International , v.647-648 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2023.01.007 Citation Details
(Showing: 1 - 10 of 23)

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