Award Abstract # 1919402
Doctoral Dissertation Research in Economics: Modern Financial Markets and Macroeconomic Growth in Historical Context

NSF Org: SES
Division of Social and Economic Sciences
Recipient: UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO
Initial Amendment Date: August 25, 2019
Latest Amendment Date: August 25, 2019
Award Number: 1919402
Award Instrument: Standard Grant
Program Manager: Nancy Lutz
nlutz@nsf.gov
 (703)292-7280
SES
 Division of Social and Economic Sciences
SBE
 Directorate for Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences
Start Date: September 1, 2019
End Date: August 31, 2021 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $18,546.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $18,546.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2019 = $18,546.00
History of Investigator:
  • Kenneth Pomeranz (Principal Investigator)
    kpomeranz1@uchicago.edu
  • Matthew Lowenstein (Co-Principal Investigator)
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: University of Chicago
5801 S ELLIS AVE
CHICAGO
IL  US  60637-5418
(773)702-8669
Sponsor Congressional District: 01
Primary Place of Performance: Sichuan University
29 Wangjiang Road
Chengdu, Sichuan
 CH
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): ZUE9HKT2CLC9
Parent UEI: ZUE9HKT2CLC9
NSF Program(s): Economics
Primary Program Source: 01001920DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 9178, 9179
Program Element Code(s): 132000
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.075

ABSTRACT

This doctoral dissertation research improvement grant will fund data collection for a study of the relationship between between modern financial markets and macroeconomic growth. The goal is to understand the role a vigorous and competitive financial system can play in facilitating economic development. The PI will develop a new data set using historical records and will use the data to test theories about the relationship between financial markets, politics, and economic development. The results will help us understand the advantages of economic liberalization for global economic well-being.

The doctoral student will focus his efforts on a specific promising case: Sichuan, China from 1933 to 1942. During this period, China made efforts to build a financial sector capable of accumulating capital and funding needed industrialization. Sichuan was China's most populous province, and the local government experimented with fiat currency and initiatives to expand the capital base of the private banking sector. The project will use archival records to construct data on Sichaun's prewar financial system, including regional interest rates, exchange rates, prices of local government debt, and balances of banknotes outstanding, as well as variables measure the political and infrastructure landscape. The team will use the data to determine the role of private enterprise in spurring the early stages of economic growth in Sichuan. The results may therefore be transformative for our understanding of the importance of economic liberalization around the globe.

This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

PROJECT OUTCOMES REPORT

Disclaimer

This Project Outcomes Report for the General Public is displayed verbatim as submitted by the Principal Investigator (PI) for this award. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this Report are those of the PI and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation; NSF has not approved or endorsed its content.

This grant helped fund dissertation research for Matthew Lowenstein of the University of Chicago's Department of History under the supervision of Dr. Kenneth Pomeranz. It funded the creation of a database of financial market prices in Chongqing during the Great Depression, namely from the years 1928-1935. Most of this data was taken from Sichuan Yuebao and Sichuan Yuekan, available at the University of Chicago library. Originally, the intent was to source a greater amount of data from archival sources in China. Unfortunately, the global pandemic sealed off all travel to China, and suspended research overseas. Nevertheless, the project resulted in the first database of remittance, interest rates, exchange rates, and public debt prices in Chinese Republican-era Chongqing. The findings suggest that the main cause of financial instability in the 1930s southwest was not, as has previously been assumed, the Great Depression. Rather, it was civil war and especially the Communist Long March. However, the database is not yet complete enough to form clear or robust conclusions about the depression, and thus has not formed part of Lowenstein's dissertation. Nevertheless, it is part of a promising ongoing study, and is expected to be submitted in article form in  a distinguished journal--ideally Journal of Economic History--in the next few years.


Last Modified: 01/27/2022
Modified by: Matthew Lowenstein

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