Award Abstract # 1823478
Understanding the Relationship Between Tornadoes and Debris Through Observed and Simulated Radar Data

NSF Org: AGS
Division of Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences
Recipient: UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA
Initial Amendment Date: June 8, 2018
Latest Amendment Date: July 28, 2020
Award Number: 1823478
Award Instrument: Continuing Grant
Program Manager: Nicholas Anderson
nanderso@nsf.gov
 (703)292-4715
AGS
 Division of Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences
GEO
 Directorate for Geosciences
Start Date: July 1, 2018
End Date: June 30, 2023 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $787,353.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $787,353.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2018 = $258,305.00
FY 2019 = $261,418.00

FY 2020 = $267,630.00
History of Investigator:
  • David Bodine (Principal Investigator)
    bodine@ou.edu
  • Robert Palmer (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Sebastian Torres (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Boonleng Cheong (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Caleb Fulton (Co-Principal Investigator)
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: University of Oklahoma Norman Campus
660 PARRINGTON OVAL RM 301
NORMAN
OK  US  73019-3003
(405)325-4757
Sponsor Congressional District: 04
Primary Place of Performance: University of Oklahoma Norman Campus
201 Stephenson Parkway
Norman
OK  US  73019-9705
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
04
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): EVTSTTLCEWS5
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): Physical & Dynamic Meteorology
Primary Program Source: 01001819DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
01001920DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT

01002021DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 9150
Program Element Code(s): 152500
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.050

ABSTRACT

Weather radar observations of tornadoes are a critical tool used by forecasters in short term forecasts of severe weather events and thus to mitigate the loss of life and property. Dual polarization radar signatures of tornado debris, called tornado debris signatures (TDSs), have received substantial attention due to their potential to remotely detect tornadoes and characterize tornado damage severity. This research has the potential to help forecasters use real-time weather radar observations to detect tornadoes and improve the accuracy of impact-based warnings by providing a better estimate of tornado damage/intensity, adding information beyond that afforded by reflectivity and velocity measurements alone.

The research seeks to advance scientific knowledge of how debris characteristics relate to dual polarization radar measurements and how debris and kinematic processes influence the three-dimensional distribution of debris and TDS structure. Moreover, the work provides the first attempt to use radar simulations and observations to explore promising polarimetric radar algorithms to estimate and mitigate debris centrifuging errors with the goal of providing more accurate wind measurements in tornadoes. This research will be carried out using a debris model initially developed with previous NSF support showing great promise in simulating realistic TDSs. The use of such a model is crucial because TDSs can change not only due to the types of surfaces or density of debris over which the tornadoes pass, but also due to changes internal to the tornado, the tornado-producing supercell and the near-storm environment, making it difficult to assess the exact mechanisms responsible for observed changes in TDS or tornado circulations. The model eliminates these variabilities, and allows determination of how the TDS changes may be related to the land cover or tornado intensity while controlling other parameters. The simulations provide a variety of land cover and debris types to be investigated at different stages in the tornado life cycle.

This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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(Showing: 1 - 10 of 12)
Anderson, M. E. "Terrain effects on the 13 April 2018 Mountainburg, Arkansas EF2 tornado" Journal of operational meteorology , v.10 , 2022 https://doi.org/10.15191/nwajom.2022.1002 Citation Details
Bodine, David J. and Kurdzo, James M. and Griffin, Casey B. and Palmer, Robert D. and Isom, Bradley and Nai, Feng and Mahre, Andrew and Yeary, Mark and Yu, Tian-You "Overview of a Decade of Field Experiments with the Atmospheric Imaging Radar" 2022 IEEE Radar Conference , 2022 https://doi.org/10.1109/RadarConf2248738.2022.9764270 Citation Details
Cross, Rachael N. and Bodine, David J. and Palmer, Robert D. and Griffin, Casey and Cheong, Boonleng and Torres, Sebastian and Fulton, Caleb and Lujan, Javier and Maruyama, Takashi "Exploring Tornadic Debris Signature Hypotheses Using Radar Simulations and Large-Eddy Simulations" Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology , v.40 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-22-0141.1 Citation Details
Griffin, Casey B. and Bodine, David J. and Kurdzo, James M. and Mahre, Andrew and Palmer, Robert D. "High-Temporal Resolution Observations of the 27 May 2015 Canadian, Texas, Tornado Using the Atmospheric Imaging Radar" Monthly Weather Review , v.147 , 2019 10.1175/MWR-D-18-0297.1 Citation Details
Griffin, Casey B and Bodine, David J and Palmer, Robert D "Polarimetric Radar Observations of Simultaneous Tornadoes on 10 May 2010 near Norman, Oklahoma" Monthly weather review , v.148 , 2020 doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0156.1 Citation Details
Kollias, Pavlos and Palmer, Robert and Bodine, David and Adachi, Toru and Bluestein, Howie and Cho, John Y. and Griffin, Casey and Houser, Jana and Kirstetter, Pierre. E. and Kumjian, Matthew R. and Kurdzo, James M. and Lee, Wen Chau and Luke, Edward P. a "Science Applications of Phased Array Radars" Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society , v.103 , 2022 https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0173.1 Citation Details
Mahre, Andrew and Yu, Tian-You and Bodine, David J. "A Comparison of Scan Speedup Strategies and Their Effect on Rapid-Scan Weather Radar Data Quality" Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology , v.37 , 2020 https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-19-0216.1 Citation Details
Palmer, Robert and Bodine, David and Kollias, Pavlos and Schvartzman, David and Zrni, Dusan and Kirstetter, Pierre and Zhang, Guifu and Yu, Tian-You and Kumjian, Matthew and Cheong, Boonleng and Collis, Scott and Frasier, Stephen and Fulton, Caleb and Ho "A Primer on Phased Array Radar Technology for the Atmospheric Sciences" Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society , v.103 , 2022 https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0172.1 Citation Details
Satrio, Clarice N. and Bodine, David J. and Palmer, Robert D. and Kuster, Charles M. "Multi-Radar Analysis of the 20 May 2013 Moore, Oklahoma Supercell through Tornadogenesis and Intensification" Atmosphere , v.12 , 2021 https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos12030313 Citation Details
Satrio, Martin A. and Bodine, David J. and Reinhart, Anthony E. and Maruyama, Takashi and Lombardo, Franklin T. "Understanding How Complex Terrain Impacts Tornado Dynamics Using a Suite of High-Resolution Numerical Simulations" Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences , v.77 , 2020 https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-19-0321.1 Citation Details
Shapiro, Alan and Gebauer, Joshua G. and Dahl, Nathan A. and Bodine, David J. and Mahre, Andrew and Potvin, Corey K. "Spatially Variable Advection Correction of Doppler Radial Velocity Data" Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences , v.78 , 2021 https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-20-0048.1 Citation Details
(Showing: 1 - 10 of 12)

PROJECT OUTCOMES REPORT

Disclaimer

This Project Outcomes Report for the General Public is displayed verbatim as submitted by the Principal Investigator (PI) for this award. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this Report are those of the PI and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation; NSF has not approved or endorsed its content.

Weather radars are indispensable tools for probing the winds inside tornadoes and revealing the structure of storms producing tornadoes. Weather radar data are critical to short-term forecasts of tornadoes, and an improved understanding of radar signatures of tornadoes and tornadic storms can improve operational warnings and risk communication and mitigate threats to life and property. An important radar signature for operational applications is the dual-polarization tornadic debris signature (TDS). Debris produce a unique dual-polarization radar signature that can be used to remotely detect debris and characterize how much and how high debris are lofted. Our past research had shown that tornado debris signatures reaching higher altitudes tended to be associated with higher Enhanced Fujita scale rating. 

This project examined the relationships among lofted tornado debris, the associated dual-polarization radar signature, and the three-dimensional winds in tornadoes. While several observation-based hypotheses had been proposed, these had not been rigorously tested with physical modeling. To accomplish this, a unique numerical simulation approach was employed that permitted controlled studies and hypothesis testing of different variables impacting tornado debris signatures by combining a dual-polarization radar simulator with a numerically simulated tornado. The dual-polarization radar simulator initializes user-specified types, sizes, and concentrations of debris, which are then tracked in the tornado's flow using aerodynamic modeling. In addition to different types of debris, a wide range of simulated tornadoes were available as inputs (e.g., weak, strong, and violent tornadoes), which enabled studies of how tornado wind speeds impact the tornado debris signature. 

One of the primary findings from the radar simulation studies was that debris characteristics, such as size or type, can be inferred from some dual-polarization radar measurements. For example, higher returned power (reflectivity) and reduced similarity between the horizontal and vertical signals on receive (correlation coefficient) occurred with larger debris sizes. An increase in the areal extent of the debris signature and a reduction in signal similarity between horizontal and vertical channels was also found as tornado wind speeds increased. This finding supports operational use of the tornado debris signature for characterizing not only damage severity, but the intensity of the tornado. 

A second major component of the radar simulation studies was the development of a technique to correct errors in Doppler velocity measurements in tornadoes. The debris within a tornado move at a different speed than the air motion, with larger differences occurring as debris size increases and often as tornado wind speeds increase. Since the radar measures the speed of objects in the air rather than the air itself, this leads to large wind speed errors, especially since radars typically measure the speeds of the largest debris. To address this problem, a technique was developed using the dual-polarization radar measurements to sort the motions of rain and debris within a radar sampling volume using the raw radar signal. Since the rain drops move at a velocity closer to the air speed, the debris velocities are filtered. Using both radar observations and simulations, the technique was demonstrated to improve the accuracy of Doppler velocities. 

In addition to the simulation-based studies, data from research radars were used to study tornadoes and their debris signatures. An analysis of two simultaneous TDSs was conducted and revealed unique patterns of storm-scale debris lofting and fallout. Using rapid-scan radars, analyses of major tornado outbreaks were conducted to study how rapid changes in the TDS relate to surface damage patterns in populated areas, as well as how debris signatures can develop within intense mesocyclones prior to tornado formation. The project also leveraged advanced, rapid-scanning radars called phased arrays to study the formation and dissipation of tornadoes. In a phased array study of tornado dissipation, a two-stage process of decay was documented including a top-down broadening and weakening of the tornado vortex.  

The project provided unique research opportunities for undergraduate and graduate students, who worked with an interdisciplinary team of meteorologists and engineers. A total of 2 Ph.D., 2 Master's, and 12 undergraduate students worked on the project, including 7 students from underrepresented groups in the atmospheric sciences. The project team participated in the National Weather Festival in Norman, Oklahoma, which involves 5,000 participants each year. During COVID, a virtual tour of the OU Radar Innovations Lab was created with a feature segment on the laboratory used in this study (anechoic chambers) and tornado debris signatures. The project team also developed a small exhibit at the National Weather Museum in Norman, OK on the Atmospheric Imaging Radar, describing how this phased array radar worked, how we used it for field experiments, and what new scientific knowledge was gained from using its data.


Last Modified: 10/26/2023
Modified by: David J Bodine

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