Award Abstract # 1660230
Land-Surface Processes, Dust Sources, and Particulate Fluxes of the 1930s Dust Bowl Drought in the U.S. Great Plains

NSF Org: BCS
Division of Behavioral and Cognitive Sciences
Recipient: BAYLOR UNIVERSITY
Initial Amendment Date: March 9, 2017
Latest Amendment Date: June 4, 2020
Award Number: 1660230
Award Instrument: Continuing Grant
Program Manager: Tom Evans
tevans@nsf.gov
 (703)292-4891
BCS
 Division of Behavioral and Cognitive Sciences
SBE
 Directorate for Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences
Start Date: June 1, 2017
End Date: May 31, 2022 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $220,033.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $264,034.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2017 = $220,033.00
FY 2020 = $44,001.00
History of Investigator:
  • Steven Forman (Principal Investigator)
    Steven_Forman@baylor.edu
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: Baylor University
700 S UNIVERSITY PARKS DR
WACO
TX  US  76706-1003
(254)710-3817
Sponsor Congressional District: 17
Primary Place of Performance: Baylor University
Dept. of Geosciences
Waco
TX  US  76798-7360
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
17
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): C6T9BYG5EYX5
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): Geography and Spatial Sciences,
AISL
Primary Program Source: 04002021DB NSF Education & Human Resource
01001920DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT

01001819DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT

01001718DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 1352, 1325, 9196
Program Element Code(s): 135200, 725900
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.075

ABSTRACT

This research project will evaluate whether agricultural practices were the dominant cause for wind erosion and continent-wide dust storms during the 1930s Dust Bowl drought as has been assumed for the past 80 years. The project will develop a new database for central North America to assess the spatial and temporal variability of natural and human-induced surface processes on wind erosion and dust emission estimates for the 1930s Dust Bowl drought. The project will yield new quantitative criteria to evaluate the role of cultivation, subsequent re-plowing, and the interactions among natural and human-related processes that led to reactivation of antecedent aeolian deposits and landscape denudation in the 1930s. This database will provide appropriate spatial-scaling for deriving estimates of dust emissivity from drought-stricken surfaces and the potential contributions of dust to regional and global atmospheric particulate loads. Many Earth system models underscore the vulnerability of the Great Plains in the 21st century to extreme droughts, with drying having the potential to exceed conditions in the 1930s, thereby increasing the potential for heightened aeolian activity. The enhanced understanding provided by this project of the spatial and temporal variability in dust generation during the 1930s drought will improve parameterization of atmosphere-land interaction models. Improvements in knowledge of these complex dynamics will provide insights regarding how to better mitigate against increases in atmospheric dust loads, which pose with increased risks of premature mortality and morbidity from respiratory, cardiovascular, and dust-borne viral diseases.

To assess changes in vegetation, associated wind processes, and dust sources and fluxes the heart of the Dust Bowl on the Great Plains, the investigators will analyze aerial photography from 1936 and 1939. Targeted regions will include persistent drought areas in the Texas and the Oklahoma panhandles, adjacent surfaces in Kansas, Colorado, and New Mexico; and other potential dust sources areas in the western Nebraska sand hills and in western North Dakota. The investigators will conduct field-based studies at sites where analysis of images indicates that sand and other wind-blown particles accumulated in the 1930s, thereby providing insights into thickness, continuity and particle sizes of Dust Bowl deposits. A range of dust emission estimates will be derived from the distribution of classified land-surfaces and from empirical analyses of dust production and release for analogous surfaces in the western U.S. These dust release estimates will be evaluated with new field measurements of dust flux from soils with the use of the portable in situ wind erosion lab.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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Barrineau, Patrick and Dobreva, Iliyana and Bishop, Michael P. and Houser, Chris and Forman, Steven L. "Deconstructing aeolian landscapes" CATENA , v.174 , 2019 10.1016/j.catena.2018.11.038 Citation Details
Bolles, Kasey and Sweeney, Mark and Forman, Steven "Meteorological catalysts of dust events and particle source dynamics of affected soils during the 1930s Dust Bowl drought, Southern High Plains, USA" Anthropocene , v.27 , 2019 10.1016/j.ancene.2019.100216 Citation Details
Bolles, Kasey C. and Forman, Steven L. "Evaluating Landscape Degradation Along Climatic Gradients During the 1930s Dust Bowl Drought From Panchromatic Historical Aerial Photographs, United States Great Plains" Frontiers in Earth Science , v.6 , 2018 10.3389/feart.2018.00153 Citation Details
Forman, Steven L. and Tew-Todd, Victoria and Mayhack, Connor and Marín, Liliana and Wiest, Logan A. and Money, Griffin "Late Quaternary aeolian environments, luminescence chronology and climate change for the Monahans dune field, Winkler County, West Texas, USA" Aeolian Research , v.58 , 2022 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aeolia.2022.100828 Citation Details
Sweeney, Mark R. and Forman, Steven L. and McDonald, Eric V. "Contemporary and future dust sources and emission fluxes from gypsum- and quartz-dominated eolian systems, New Mexico and Texas, USA" Geology , v.50 , 2021 https://doi.org/10.1130/G49488.1 Citation Details

PROJECT OUTCOMES REPORT

Disclaimer

This Project Outcomes Report for the General Public is displayed verbatim as submitted by the Principal Investigator (PI) for this award. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this Report are those of the PI and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation; NSF has not approved or endorsed its content.

Mineral dust aerosols are a key component of the Earth system, and a public health concern under 20th and 21st century climate change. The Southern Great Plains, including Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and adjacent areas in Colorado and New Mexico, is a potential source for future dust storms with forecast aridity, like during the 1930s Dust Bowl Drought (DBD). Dust storms in 1930s in this area occurred weekly with high atmospheric dust loads persisting for days and are associated with heightened occurrence of cardiorespiratory aliments. However, land to atmosphere interactions across the Great Plains with sustained high temperature conditions and drought are poorly constrained may be source of contribute to lower atmosphere dust loading. This research assessed land surface disturbance in DBD areas from the first generation of aerial photographs taken between 1934 and 1940. These images available in the National Archives were digitized, seamlessly mosaicked, grayscale corrected and geolocated for quantitative studies. Surface disturbance and removal of vegetation in the DBD area was primarily associated with currently stabilized sand dunes and flat sand sheet environments, which are common across the Great Plains. Previous studies have documented that on average only 30 to 40% of the DBD area was cultivated and as the drought progressed additional acreage was fallow. Largescale landform reactivation occurred with excessive heat (>95⁰ F) at the land surface and overlying atmosphere, drought intensity and reduced plant diversity.  The release of very small particles, a 100 times smaller than the width of single strand of hair, (called PM10 or 10 microns in size) for a DBD dust storm with winds >13 mph was 4700?41,610 μg m3/d, similar in magnitude to current dust storms from North Africa and East Asia. Visibility during these dust storms would be < 0.5 miles.

The meteorological catalysts for dust events and surficial dynamics for dust emission was evaluated from a new quantitative record of 20th century dust storms in the DBD area. These observations were combined with 1930s Soil Conservation Service station reports, reanalysis of meteorological data, and field surveys using a Portable In-Situ Wind Erosion Laboratory (PI-SWERL). The PI-SWERL is a wind tunnel wrapped into a circle and simulates the stress of wind on a land surface with wind speeds from 5 to 55 mph and measures the production (or emission) of dust from the land surface. The PI-SWERL is an important field tool for measuring the dust emission potential from land surfaces.  A multivariate statistical analysis of amongst 22 environmental factors related to 1930s dust storms yield six principal components capturing~60% of the variance to explain the factors for dust event days. This analysis indicates that 1930s dust storms are mostly related to the seasonality (spring and winter) and extreme temperatures, rather than agricultural practice. This analysis indicates that extreme temperatures particularly in Spring and reduced surface moisture and vegetation cover are the principal causative factors for dust storms in the 1930s DBD. Comparatively, South Dakota had a higher area of cultivation and lower area of eolian sand deposits, suggesting that DBD dust storms in the Northern Great Plains were primarily derived from cultivated fields.

This research also characterized dust emission hotspots at White Sands, NM where gypsum dunes and the adjacent playa yield very high dust fluxes up to 8.3 mg/m2/s. In contrast, the active, quartz rich Monahans dunes, TX produce low dust fluxes up to 0.5 mg/m2/s, whereas adjacent stabilized sand sheet areas could produce some of the highest dust emissions at 17.7 mg/m2/s if reactivated. These findings have implications for present and future dust emission potential of eolian systems from the Great Plains to the southwestern United States with a changing climate.

 


Last Modified: 12/07/2022
Modified by: Steven L Forman

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