Award Abstract # 1338247
COLLABORATIVE RESEACH: Integrated Data-Model Analysis of CO2-Climate-Vegetation Feedbacks in a Dynamic Paleo-Icehouse

NSF Org: EAR
Division Of Earth Sciences
Recipient: BAYLOR UNIVERSITY
Initial Amendment Date: December 3, 2013
Latest Amendment Date: July 20, 2017
Award Number: 1338247
Award Instrument: Continuing Grant
Program Manager: Jonathan G Wynn
jwynn@nsf.gov
 (703)292-4725
EAR
 Division Of Earth Sciences
GEO
 Directorate for Geosciences
Start Date: January 1, 2014
End Date: December 31, 2018 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $169,070.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $169,070.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2014 = $30,370.00
FY 2015 = $41,267.00

FY 2016 = $41,664.00

FY 2017 = $55,769.00
History of Investigator:
  • Joseph White (Principal Investigator)
    Joseph_D_White@baylor.edu
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: Baylor University
700 S UNIVERSITY PARKS DR
WACO
TX  US  76706-1003
(254)710-3817
Sponsor Congressional District: 17
Primary Place of Performance: Baylor University
TX  US  76798-7388
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
17
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): C6T9BYG5EYX5
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): Sedimentary Geo & Paleobiology
Primary Program Source: 01001415DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
01001516DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT

01001617DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT

01001718DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 7459
Program Element Code(s): 745900
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.050

ABSTRACT

COLLABORATIVE RESEARCH :Integrated Data-Model Analysis of CO2-Climate-Vegetation Feedbacks in a Dynamic Paleo-Icehouse

by

Isabel Montanez, Univ. California, Davis EAR-1338281
Christopher Poulsen, Univ. Michigan, EAR-1338200
Joseph White, Baylor University, EAR-1338247
Michael Hren, Univ. Conneticutt, EAR-1338256

ABSTRACT
Overview: Vegetation-CO¬2-climate feedbacks have been shown to be an important component of the climate system, capable of perturbing atmospheric circulation, continental surface temperatures, and hydrological cycling on regional- to global-scales. Recent work indicates that vegetation-climate feedbacks likely had the potential to push the late Paleozoic climate system between glacial and interglacial states and to strongly modify the climate regime within these states. The details of the nature, time-scales, and potential impact of these feedbacks remain elusive. This multi-disciplinary project, driven by three interlinked hypotheses, addresses these shortcomings and analyzes the roles of CO2- and orbital-forcing and vegetation-climate feedbacks in promoting glacial-interglacial transitions on eccentricity- to multi-million year time-scales:
- The response of vegetation to primarily CO2-driven glacial-interglacial transitions depended on the timing, magnitude and duration of CO2 forcing and whether critical ecological thresholds were reached.
- Tropical vegetation, by way of physiological forcing, impacted low-latitude climate and water & C cycling
- Vegetation-climate feedbacks - on a global-scale - amplified radiatively forced glacial-interglacial transitions through changes in direct surface forcing and terrestrial C & N cycling.
These hypotheses are being tested through integrated empirical, experimental and multi-scale modeling approaches across a spectrum of time- (10 to 1,000,000 yr) and spatial-scales (leaf-to-canopy-to-global climate system). Climate-CO2-vegetation feedbacks, including the role of plant physiological forcing of climate will be assessed through a two-stage modeling effort that will first reformulate a terrestrial biosphere model (BIOME-BGC) using the empirical and experimental results coupled with modeling sensitivity experiments to define plant functional traits for late Paleozoic PFTs. In the second stage, we will incorporate these PFT traits into NCAR's fully coupled Community Earth System Model and use this version to investigate glacial-interglacial dynamics.
Intellectual Merit: This research will generate the first high-resolution, high-precision reconstruction of atmospheric CO2 during the LPIA, which when incorporated into the climate modeling will provide insight into the evolution of earth system processes, including the terrestrial biosphere, in an icehouse under changing CO2 levels relevant to our long-term future. This study will be the first modification of terrestrial biosphere models to account for paleo-PFT traits and investigation of paleovegetation-climate feedbacks thus providing an improved understanding of the potential of non-angiosperm plants to influence hydrologic and C cycling through physiological forcing.
Broader Impacts: Cross-disciplinary training and mentoring will occur through in-residence internships for the Ph.D. students. Underrepresented students to Earth and environmental sciences will be integrated through a range of summer and academic year internships and programs at the collaborating institutions. This study will contribute directly to a Carboniferous exhibit planned for the Paleontological Halls of the National Museum of Natural History, Smithsonian Institution. All data generated by this study will be archived and shared via publications, and web-accessible tools.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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McElwain, J., I. Montañez, J.D White, J.P Wilson, and C. Yiotis "Was atmospheric CO2 capped at 1000 ppm over the past 300 million years?" Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology , v.441 , 2016 , p.653
Montañez, I.P., J. McElwain, C. Poulsen, J. White, J. Wilson, W.A. DiMichele, G. Griggs, M. Hren "Linked shifts in glacial-interglacial CO2, Climate and terrestrial carbon cycling during earth's last icehouse" Nature Geoscience , 2016 10.1038/NGEO2822
Poulsen, C.J., C. Tabor, and J.D. White "Long-term climate forcing by atmospheric oxygen concentrations." Science , v.348 , 2015 , p.1238
Poulsen, C.J., C. Tabor, J. White "Response to Comment on "Long-term climate forcing by atmospheric oxygen concentrations"." Science , v.353 , 2016 , p.132 10.1126/science.aad8550
Wilson, J.P., I.P. Montañez, J.D. White, W. A. DiMichele, J.C. McElwain, C.J. Poulsen, and M.T. Hren "Tansley Review: Dynamic Carboniferous tropical forests: new views of plant function and physiological forcing of climate" New Phytologist , v.215 , 2017 , p.1333
Wilson, J.P., J.D. White, W.A. DiMichele, M.T. Hren, C.J. Poulsen, J.C. McElwain, and I.P. Montañez "Reconstructing extinct plant water use for understanding vegetation?climate feedbacks: Methods, synthesis, and a case study using the Paleozoic-era medullosan seed ferns." The Paleontological Society Papers , v.21 , 2015 , p.167

PROJECT OUTCOMES REPORT

Disclaimer

This Project Outcomes Report for the General Public is displayed verbatim as submitted by the Principal Investigator (PI) for this award. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this Report are those of the PI and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation; NSF has not approved or endorsed its content.

We modified the ecosystem process model BIOME-BGC, as a novel application for Paleozoic plants (pBGC) for seven dominant plant types (lycopsids, medullosans, sphenopsids, cordaitaleans, peltasperms, tree ferns, and Walchian confiers) of the Late Carboniferous with simulated input meteorology at a daily time-step. Process modeling was based on defining individual plants types based on foliar characteristics that could be derived from fossil material: 1) leaf conductance, both stomatal boundary layer (as a function of leaf morphology), 2) foliar carbon to nitrogen ratios (C:Nleaf), 3) mesophyll pathlength (Dm).  In addition, specific leaf area (SLA), which is an intrinsic character of foliage that represents the allometry of leaf mass to surface area, was defined for these plant types from C:Nleaf from a proxy function between SLA and C:Nleaf values developed from data for modern New Zealand podocarps.  For this project, a new constraint on stomatal conductance was added to the pBGC model in which the parameter Dm, was used to subsume the influence of venation and leaf thickness, factors known to have differed in non-angiosperm plants of the Paleozoic.  Simulations at specific points and globally showed minimal influence of oxygen on ecosystem function such as productivity, water use, or nitrogen cycling despite early suggestion that higher pO2 would increase atmospheric pressure reducing overall inherent evaporation rates.  Other scenarios assessed including varying pCO2 between 200 to 600 ppm increased productivity, though reduced water availability and water runoff.  However, much of these effects were due to coincident change in simulated temperature and precipitation associated with these CO2 changes derived from meteorological data derived from the GENESIS model by Chris Poulsen, University of Michigan.  Rather, much of the change in ecosystem functions simulated (i.e. productivity, water budgets, and nitrogen cycling) were due to differential water use by the different taxa.  In particular, lycopsids, as the primary plant type of the ?coal? swamps of the Carboniferous, were found to have very high stomatal conductance based on the fossil morphology, that coupled with high Dm simultaneously resulted in high water loss with sensitivity to reduced leaf water resupply.  This result is different than previous conceptualization of this plant type which has been represented as being very water conservative based on inadequate comparisons with extant lycophytes. This leads to one of the main conclusions of our study which is that reconstruction of plant function of taxa from deep time are best approached by mechanistic modeling informed from direct fossil evidence, rather than inference of functional limitations based on nearest living relatives. For global simulations of these plant types, we found distinctive geographical distribution limits that we refer to as the physiological landscape.  High correspondence was found between locations on Pangea where our simulated plants were modeled to have grown compared to locations of major fossil assemblage sites.  The major find of global simulations was that the total terrestrial land area covered by Carboniferous vegetation ranged from 20 to 60% based on our assessment of the physiological landscape of plants that existed during that time.  This is compared to modern land area coverage which is approximately 88%.  Limitations to distribution are associated with water management by these taxa.  From a global climate perspective, this provides us our second major conclusion which is that plants of the Carboniferous had limited capacity to affect climate through either carbon or water exchange capacity, rather influenced by their presence or absence across the large Pangean supercontinent through both planetary albedo and interception of precipitation affecting runoff and direct soil erosion. Thus, the land area to support plant growth constrains climate interactions as a function of evolutionary physiological limitations.

 


Last Modified: 04/25/2019
Modified by: Joseph D White

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