Award Abstract # 1203892
Collaborative Research: A Combined Proxy and Model Investigation of Late Holocene Paleoclimate in the Horn of Africa

NSF Org: OCE
Division Of Ocean Sciences
Recipient: WOODS HOLE OCEANOGRAPHIC INSTITUTION
Initial Amendment Date: August 7, 2012
Latest Amendment Date: August 7, 2012
Award Number: 1203892
Award Instrument: Standard Grant
Program Manager: Candace Major
OCE
 Division Of Ocean Sciences
GEO
 Directorate for Geosciences
Start Date: August 15, 2012
End Date: March 31, 2016 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $523,541.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $523,541.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2012 = $456,111.00
History of Investigator:
  • Jessica Tierney (Principal Investigator)
    jesst@email.arizona.edu
  • Valier Galy (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Caroline Ummenhofer (Co-Principal Investigator)
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
266 WOODS HOLE RD
WOODS HOLE
MA  US  02543-1535
(508)289-3542
Sponsor Congressional District: 09
Primary Place of Performance: Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
266 Woods Hole Rd.
Woods Hole
MA  US  02543-1535
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
09
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): GFKFBWG2TV98
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): Marine Geology and Geophysics
Primary Program Source: 01001213DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 1304, 1620, EGCH, OTHR
Program Element Code(s): 162000
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.050

ABSTRACT

This project seeks to investigate the mechanisms causing drought events in the Horn of Africa over the last 4,500 years using a combination of proxy measurements and modeling. Researchers from the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute and Columbia University's Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory will collaborate to generate the first known paleoclimate record for the region. The project will use proxy data from a sediment core collected in the Gulf of Aden to determine regional sea surface temperatures (Mg/Ca, TEX86) and hydroclimate (carbon and hydrogen isotopes from plant leaf waxes) at a resolution of ~20 years. The regional sea surface temperature data will be used to drive Community Earth System Model (CESM) simulations of key drought and pluvial events. Model output will be compared with the proxy hydroclimate record to assess the Horn of Africa's sensitivity to regional SSTs versus more remote (global) climate drivers.

Drought history in the Horn of Africa is closely tied to political instability, making its population particularly vulnerable to climate change. The investigators will engage policy makers focused on this issue through a workshop held in collaboration with the Woodrow Wilson Center?s Environmental Change and Security Program. The project will support three early-career researchers, two of which are female with no prior NSF support, as well as training of an undergraduate student.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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Abdi, A. M. and Vrieling, A. and Yengoh, G. T. and Anyamba, A. and Seaquist, J. W. and Ummenhofer, C. C. and Ardö, J. "The El Niño ? La Niña cycle and recent trends in supply and demand of net primary productivity in African drylands" Climatic Change , v.138 , 2016 10.1007/s10584-016-1730-1 Citation Details
Jessica E. Tierney and Peter B. deMenocal "Abrupt shifts in Horn of Africa hydroclimate since the Last Glacial Maximum" Science , v.342 , 2013 , p.843-846 10.1126/science.1244809
Jessica E. Tierney, Jason E. Smerdon, Kevin J. Anchukaitis, and Richard Seager "Multidecadal variability in East African hydroclimate controlled by the Indian Ocean" Nature , v.493 , 2013 , p.389-392 10.1038/nature11785
Tierney, Jessica E. and Ummenhofer, Caroline C. and deMenocal, Peter B. "Past and future rainfall in the Horn of Africa" Science Advances , v.1 , 2015 10.1126/sciadv.1500682 Citation Details
Ummenhofer, Caroline C. and Kulüke, Marco and Tierney, Jessica E. "Extremes in East African hydroclimate and links to Indo-Pacific variability on interannual to decadal timescales" Climate Dynamics , v.50 , 2018 10.1007/s00382-017-3786-7 Citation Details
Vrieling, Anton and Meroni, Michele and Mude, Andrew G. and Chantarat, Sommarat and Ummenhofer, Caroline C. and de Bie, Kees (C.A.J.M.) "Early assessment of seasonal forage availability for mitigating the impact of drought on East African pastoralists" Remote Sensing of Environment , v.174 , 2016 10.1016/j.rse.2015.12.003 Citation Details

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