Award Abstract # 1030922
Modeling, Assimilation, and Analysis of the Shelf - Interior Ocean Exchange off Oregon

NSF Org: OCE
Division Of Ocean Sciences
Recipient: OREGON STATE UNIVERSITY
Initial Amendment Date: August 16, 2010
Latest Amendment Date: June 16, 2015
Award Number: 1030922
Award Instrument: Standard Grant
Program Manager: Eric C. Itsweire
OCE
 Division Of Ocean Sciences
GEO
 Directorate for Geosciences
Start Date: September 1, 2010
End Date: August 31, 2016 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $880,904.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $880,904.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2010 = $880,904.00
History of Investigator:
  • Alexander Kurapov (Principal Investigator)
    kurapov@coas.oregonstate.edu
  • John Allen (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Gary Egbert (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Robert Shearman (Co-Principal Investigator)
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: Oregon State University
1500 SW JEFFERSON AVE
CORVALLIS
OR  US  97331-8655
(541)737-4933
Sponsor Congressional District: 04
Primary Place of Performance: Oregon State University
1500 SW JEFFERSON AVE
CORVALLIS
OR  US  97331-8655
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
04
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): MZ4DYXE1SL98
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): PHYSICAL OCEANOGRAPHY
Primary Program Source: 01001011DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s):
Program Element Code(s): 161000
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.050

ABSTRACT

The project addresses the circulation and dynamics processes that occur between the continental shelf and adjacent ocean off the Oregon coast, using a suite of numerical modeling approaches. Process oriented modeling, data analyses, and variational data assimilation will be used to investigate the exchanges across the coastal transition zone. Use will be made of extensive, existing data sets to constrain the numerical modeling, which in turn will be used to investigate the transports and exchanges between the coastal and open ocean. Various combinations of observational data will be used in the assimilation experiments to assess their utility. The project has the potential to achieve transformative results in our understanding of how data can be used to improve numerical modeling in the coastal zone.

The project addresses fundamental questions regarding the circulation patterns of the shelf, slope, and adjacent open ocean. It therefore has indirect broader impacts on other fields of oceanography including the dynamics relevant to the hypoxia zone off the Oregon coast. The project is also a natural extension of previous observational and modeling work for the region. The series of modeling and assimilation experiments are highly relevant to the ongoing development and eventual implementation of the Ocean Observatories Initiative (OOI).

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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(Showing: 1 - 10 of 15)
Durski, S. M., A. L. Kurapov, J. S. Allen, P. M. Kosro, G. D. Egbert, K. R. Shearman, and J. A. Barth "Coastal ocean variability in the U.S. Pacific Northwest region: seasonal patterns, winter circulation and the influence of the 2009-2010 El Nino" Ocean Dynamics , v.65 , 2015 DOI:10.1007/s10236-015-0891-1
Hemery, L. G., S. R. Marion, C. G. Romsos, A. L. Kurapov, and S. K. Henkel "Ecologicalniche and species distribution modelling of sea stars along the Pacific Northwest continental shelf" Diversty and Distribution , v.22 , 2016 10.1111/ddi.12490
Kim, S.Y., A. L. Kurapov, and P. M. Kosro "Influence of varying upper ocean stratification on coastal near-inertial currents" J. Geophys. Res. , v.120 , 2015 10.1002/2015JC011153
Kim, S. Y., P. M. Kosro, and A. L. Kurapov "Evaluation of directly wind-coherent near-inertial surface currents off Oregon using a statistical parameterization and analytical and numerical models" J. Geophys. Res. , v.119 , 2014 10.1002/2014JC010115
Kim, S. Y., P. M. Kosro, and A. L. Kurapov "Evaluation of directly wind-coherent near-inertial surface currents off Oregon using a statistical parameterization and analytical and numerical models" J. Geophys. Res. - Oceans , 2014
Kurapov, A. L., D. Foley, P. T. Strub, G. D. Egbert, and J. S. Allen "Variational assimilation of satellite observations in a coastal ocean model off Oregon" J. Geophys. Res. , v.116 , 2011 , p.C05006 doi:10.1029/2010JC006909
Kurapov, A. L., D. Foley, P. T. Strub, G. D. Egbert, and J. S. Allen, 2011 "Variational assimilation of satellite observations in a coastal ocean model off Oregon" J. Geophys. Res. , v.116 , 2011 10.1029/2010JC006909
Kurapov, AL; Foley, D; Strub, PT; Egbert, GD; Allen, JS "Variational assimilation of satellite observations in a coastal ocean model off Oregon" JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS , v.116 , 2011 View record at Web of Science 10.1029/2010JC00690
Kurapov, A. L., H. T. Özkan-Haller "Bathymetry correction using an adjoint component of a coupled nearshore wave-circulation model: Tests with synthetic velocity data" J. Gephys. Res. - Oceans , v.118 , 2013 , p.4673 10.1002/jgrc.20306
Kurapov, A. L., S. Erofeeva, and E. Myers "Coastal sea level variability in the US West Coast Ocean Forecast System (WCOFS)" Ocean Dynamics , v.65 , 2016 10.1007/s10236-016-1013-4
Osborne, J., A. Kurapov, G. Egbert, and P. M. Kosro "Modeling intermittency and energetics of the M2 internal tide on the Oregon shelf" J. Phys. Oceanogr. , v.41 , 2011 , p.2037 DOI: 10.1175/JPO-D-11-02.1
(Showing: 1 - 10 of 15)

PROJECT OUTCOMES REPORT

Disclaimer

This Project Outcomes Report for the General Public is displayed verbatim as submitted by the Principal Investigator (PI) for this award. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this Report are those of the PI and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation; NSF has not approved or endorsed its content.

We have developed and utilized for analysis comprehensive three-dimensional ocean circulation models to understand influences of oceanic processes at the basin, regional, and coastal scales. Multiyear simulations of coastal currents along the entire US West Coast allowed us understanding differences in shelf circulation and hydrography between different years influenced by such basin-scale phenomena as El Niño. Extensive data sets have been used to verify model performance, including sea level and surface temperature from satellites, vertical cross-shore sections of temperature and salinity from autonomous underwater vehicles - gliders, and surface currents over the shelf and continental slope measured remotely by a network of coast-based high frequency (HF) radars. 

As part of this project we have tested methods for model-observation synthesis (data assimilation). These tests showed impact of various observations on accuracy of model predictions, guiding future development of coastal ocean forecast systems that will predict currents, temperature and other oceanic properties in support of search and rescue, oil spill and marine debris response, navigation, and fisheries. 

Pilot coastal ocean forecast systems have been developed and supported using methodologies developed in this project. One of these systems, which is now a part of the Integrated Ocean Observing System (nanoos.org), has provided everyday updates of 3 day forecasts of oceanic conditions off Oregon and Washington. These forecasts have been popular among local fishermen who used information on currents and temperature fronts to guide their operations. 

This project allowed us train a new generation of coastal oceanographers. Our model solutions and analyses have been utilized by a number of undergraduate students whose interest has turned to envionrmental studies. 

 


Last Modified: 12/02/2016
Modified by: Alexander L Kurapov

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