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Award Abstract # 0838871
Applying Ice Cores, Instrumental Climate Records and Climate Modeling Towards a Mechanistic Understanding of Antarctic Climate Variability on Interannual to Multidecadal Time Scale

NSF Org: OPP
Office of Polar Programs (OPP)
Recipient: UNIVERSITY CORPORATION FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH
Initial Amendment Date: May 26, 2009
Latest Amendment Date: May 26, 2009
Award Number: 0838871
Award Instrument: Standard Grant
Program Manager: Peter Milne
OPP
 Office of Polar Programs (OPP)
GEO
 Directorate for Geosciences
Start Date: June 1, 2009
End Date: May 31, 2012 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $495,539.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $495,539.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2009 = $495,539.00
ARRA Amount: $495,539.00
History of Investigator:
  • Clara Deser (Principal Investigator)
    cdeser@ucar.edu
  • David Schneider (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Yuko Okumura (Co-Principal Investigator)
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: University Corporation For Atmospheric Res
3090 CENTER GREEN DR
BOULDER
CO  US  80301-2252
(303)497-1000
Sponsor Congressional District: 02
Primary Place of Performance: National Center For Atmospheric Research
P.O. Box 3000
Boulder
CO  US  80307-3000
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
02
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): YEZEE8W5JKA3
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): ANT Ocean & Atmos Sciences
Primary Program Source: 01R00910DB RRA RECOVERY ACT
Program Reference Code(s): 0000, 6890, OTHR
Program Element Code(s): 511300
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.078

ABSTRACT

Abstract

Researchers at NCAR aim to address Antarctic climate variability on interannual, multidecadal and longer timescales over the past ~250 years as a means to better understand the underlying physical mechanisms controlling climate change in the southern polar region. A range of observational, modeling and proxy (e.g. ice core) information will be combined and interpreted.
Effort will be focused on the analysis and mechanistic interpretation of the interannual-to-multidecadal variability in the Antarctic ice core records over the past ~250 years. Analyses of observational ice core records will be used to define the leading patterns of variability and relate those to existing Antarctic temperature reconstructions and to tropical climate anomalies from various instrumental data sets. In particular, modeling experiments will be used to examine the relative roles of sea surface temperature forcing (tropical vs. extra-tropical) and direct atmospheric radiative forcing associated with changes in greenhouse gas and stratospheric ozone concentrations on Antarctic climate variability.

The modeling component will use existing and modified atmospheric general circulation simulations driven with observational history from 1870 to the present. An augmentation of the most recent CCSM CAM (Community Climate System Model, Community Atmospheric Model) model explicitly incorporating a water isotope tracer scheme will be used to evaluate the isotope model performance, and to broaden current interpretation of ice core records.

Participation in an ongoing and independently funded NCAR minority serving education effort (SOARS - Significant Opportunities in Atmospheric Research) is offered as a means of broadening participation in the atmospheric and related sciences.

"This award is funded under the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (Public Law 111-5)."



PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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Landrum, L., M. Holland, D.P. Schneider, and E.R. Hunke "Antarctic sea ice climatology, variability and late 20th Century change in CCSM4" Journal of Climate , v.25 , 2012 , p.4817
Schneider, D. and Noone, D. "Is a bipolar seesaw consistent with observed Antarctic climate variability and trends?" Geophysical Research Letters , v.39 , 2012 10.1029/2011GL050826
Schneider,. D.P, C. Deser and Y. Okumura "An assessment and interpretation of the observed warming of West Antarctica in the austral spring" Climate Dynamics , 2011 10.1007/s00382-010-0985-x
Schneider, D.P., Y. Okumura and C. Deser "Observed Antarctic interannual climate variability and tropical linkages" Journal of Climate , v.25 , 2012 , p.4048 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00273.1

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