Award Abstract # 0753399
Mesoamerican Dendroclimatology: Climate Dynamics and Socioeconomic Applications

NSF Org: AGS
Division of Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences
Recipient: UNIVERSITY OF ARKANSAS
Initial Amendment Date: June 25, 2008
Latest Amendment Date: June 25, 2008
Award Number: 0753399
Award Instrument: Standard Grant
Program Manager: David Verardo
AGS
 Division of Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences
GEO
 Directorate for Geosciences
Start Date: July 1, 2008
End Date: June 30, 2012 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $327,273.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $327,273.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2008 = $327,273.00
History of Investigator:
  • David Stahle (Principal Investigator)
    dstahle@uark.edu
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: University of Arkansas
1125 W MAPLE ST STE 316
FAYETTEVILLE
AR  US  72701-3124
(479)575-3845
Sponsor Congressional District: 03
Primary Place of Performance: University of Arkansas
1125 W MAPLE ST STE 316
FAYETTEVILLE
AR  US  72701-3124
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
03
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): MECEHTM8DB17
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): Paleoclimate
Primary Program Source: 01000809DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 0000, 9150, OTHR
Program Element Code(s): 153000
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.050

ABSTRACT

Funding will allow the researcher to continue developing long, exactly dated tree-ring chronologies from Mesoamerica for use in reconstructing patterns of seasonal precipitation and associated large-scale climate dynamics. Specifically, the researcher will: 1) develop a network of climate-sensitive Montezuma baldcypress, Douglas-fir, and other conifer chronologies in central and southern Mexico and Guatemala; 2) analyze the Montezuma baldcypress chronologies spanning the past 1200 years at Barranca de Amealco, Qeretaro and the past 1600-years at Los Peroles, San Luis Potosi; 3) expand gridded drought severity reconstructions across Mexico and Guatemala to provide a proxy record of climate variability and to place the current drought in historical context; 4) investigate the long term, large scale ocean-atmospheric forcing of Mesoamerican hydroclimatology; 5) develop calibrated reconstructions of regional precipitation, streamflow, and crop yield records for southern Mexico and Guatemala; and 6) explore the link between reconstructed climate extremes and the historical record of epidemic disease, locust outbreaks, and social disruption in Mexico and Guatemala. This research integrates across usually disparate fields of inquiry such as climate, biology, epidemiology, and economics. The intellectual integration coupled with strong training and international collaboration makes for promising broad impact by this project.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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Burnette, D.J., D.W. Stahle, C.J. Mock "Daily-mean temperature reconstructed for Kansas from early instrumental and modern observations." Journal of Climate , v.23 , 2010 , p.1308
Seager, R., M. Ting, M. Davis, M. Cane, N. Naik, J. Nakamura, C. Li, E. Cook, and D.W. Stahle "Mexican drought: An observational, modeling and proxy reconstruction study of variability and climate change" Atmosfera , v.22 , 2009 , p.1
Stahle, D.W. "Major Mesoamercan droughts of the past millennium" Geophysical Research Letters , v.38 , 2011 , p.L05703 10.1029/2010GL046472
Stahle, D. W., D.J. Burnette, J. Villanueva Diaz, F.K. Fye, R.D. Griffin, M.K. Cleaveland, D.K. Stahle, J.R. Edmondson, K. Wolff "Tree-ring analysis of ancient baldcypress trees and subfossil wood" Quaternary Science Reviews , v.34 , 2012 , p.1
Stahle, D. W., D.J. Burnette, J. Villanueva Diaz, R.R. Heim, Jr., F.K. Fye, J. Cerano Paredes, R. R. Acuna-Soto, M.K. Cleaveland "Atlantic and Pacific influences on Mesoamerican climate over the past millennium." Climate Dynamics , 2011 10.1007/s00382-011-1205-z
Stahle, D.W., E.R. Cook, J. Villanueva Diaz, F.K. Fye, D.J. Burnette, R.D. Griffin, R. Acuna "Early 21st century drought in Mexico" Eos , v.90(11) , 2009 , p.89
Stahle, D.W., E.R. Cook, J. Villanueva Diaz, F.K. Fye, D.J. Burnette, R.D. Griffin, R. Acuna "Early 21st century drought in Mexico" Eos , v.90(11) , 2009 , p.89
Stahle, D.W., M.K. Cleaveland, H. Grissino-Mayer, R.D. Griffin, F.K. Fye, M.D. Therrell, D.J. "Cool and warm season precipitation reconstructions over western New Mexico" Journal of Climate , v.22 , 2009 , p.3729

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