Award Abstract # 0438612
A Network Approach to Study Atmospheric Teleconnections

NSF Org: AGS
Division of Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences
Recipient: UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN SYSTEM
Initial Amendment Date: December 3, 2004
Latest Amendment Date: February 6, 2007
Award Number: 0438612
Award Instrument: Continuing Grant
Program Manager: Walter A. Robinson
AGS
 Division of Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences
GEO
 Directorate for Geosciences
Start Date: May 1, 2005
End Date: October 31, 2008 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $327,078.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $327,078.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2005 = $104,248.00
FY 2006 = $108,947.00

FY 2007 = $113,883.00
History of Investigator:
  • Anastasios Tsonis (Principal Investigator)
    aatsonis@csd.uwm.edu
  • Kyle Swanson (Co-Principal Investigator)
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee
3203 N DOWNER AVE # 273
MILWAUKEE
WI  US  53211-3153
(414)229-4853
Sponsor Congressional District: 04
Primary Place of Performance: University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee
3203 N DOWNER AVE # 273
MILWAUKEE
WI  US  53211-3153
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
04
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): JBQ9M3PLFDP5
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): Climate & Large-Scale Dynamics
Primary Program Source: app-0105 
app-0106 

app-0107 
Program Reference Code(s): 1324, EGCH
Program Element Code(s): 574000
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.050

ABSTRACT

A teleconnection, in atmospheric sciences, is a strong correlation of temporal fluctuations between two meteorological parameters. In this study fluctuation at each observational point is considered to be the result of the dynamics of an atmospheric system that behaves in a complex manner. The main goal of this research is to study the collective behavior of the complete observational network. This work will extensively focus on the PIs earlier preliminary works to study in detail (1) the spatial and temporal variability of teleconnections during the last century in many atmospheric parameters, (2) the relation between teleconnections in different parameters, and (3) the relation between teleconnections and various indices such as the Southern Oscillation Index. This analysis will then be extended to modeled outputs to investigate the mode(s) of communication between tropics and midlatitudes. Finally, this analysis will be used to improve the predictive capability by identifying which regions on the planet are more likely to be affected by an anomaly pattern somewhere else.

Broader Impacts: The new insights from this study may help to improve climate predictions.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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A.A. Tsonis and K.L. Swanson "Topology and predictability of El Nino and La Nina networks" Physical Review Letters , v.100 , 2008 , p.2285
A.A. Tsonis, K.L. Swanson, and G. Wang "Estimating the clustering coefficient in scale-free networks on lattices with local correlation structure." Physica A , v.387 , 2008 , p.5287
A.A. Tsonis, K.L. Swanson, and P.J. Roebber "What do networks have to do with climate?" Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society , v.85 , 2006 , p.585
A.A. Tsonis, K.L. Swanson, and S. Kravtsov "A new dynamical mechanism for major climate shifts" Geophysical Research Letters , v.34 , 2007 , p.L13705
A.A. Tsonis, K.L. Swanson, and S. Kravtsov "A new dynamical mechanism for major climate shifts" Geophysical Research Letters , v.34 , 2007 , p.L13705
A.A. Tsonis, K.S. Swanson, G. Wang "On the role of atmospheric teleconnections in climate" J. of Climate , v.21 , 2008 , p.2990
L.M.V. Carvahlo, A.A. Tsonis, C. Jones, H.R. Rocha, and P.S. Polito "Anti-persistence in the global temperature field" Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics , v.14 , 2007 , p.723

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