Award Abstract # 0424065
Forward and Inverse Modeling of Rupture Dynamics in Three Dimensions

NSF Org: EAR
Division Of Earth Sciences
Recipient: SAN DIEGO STATE UNIVERSITY FOUNDATION
Initial Amendment Date: March 26, 2004
Latest Amendment Date: August 6, 2007
Award Number: 0424065
Award Instrument: Continuing Grant
Program Manager: Eva Zanzerkia
EAR
 Division Of Earth Sciences
GEO
 Directorate for Geosciences
Start Date: December 1, 2003
End Date: August 31, 2008 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $0.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $177,107.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2001 = $13,531.00
FY 2002 = $96,342.00

FY 2003 = $67,234.00
History of Investigator:
  • Kim Olsen (Principal Investigator)
    kbolsen@mail.sdsu.edu
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: San Diego State University Foundation
5250 CAMPANILE DR
SAN DIEGO
CA  US  92182-1901
(619)594-5731
Sponsor Congressional District: 51
Primary Place of Performance: San Diego State University
5300 Campanile Drive
San Diego
CA  US  92115-1338
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
51
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): H59JKGFZKHL7
Parent UEI: H59JKGFZKHL7
NSF Program(s): Geophysics
Primary Program Source: 01000102DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
app-0102 

app-0103 
Program Reference Code(s): 1576, 0000, OTHR
Program Element Code(s): 157400
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.050

ABSTRACT

Abstract for proposal EAR0003275 (PH #23x)

Title: Forward and Inverse Modeling of Rupture Dynamics in Three Dimensions

PI: Kim Olsen, Institute for Crustal Studies, University of California at Santa Barbara

The proposed research is an integrated approach to significantly advance our knowledge in the field of earthquake rupture dynamics. The work consists of three parts. The first part is the development of a method for flexible and efficient modeling of dynamic rupture propagation on curved or multi-segmented fault geometries with radiation in a laterally and vertically heterogeneous three-dimensional medium and accurate boundary conditions. This method will allow fully large-scale dynamic modeling of the statistics of recurrent ruptures on systems of arbitrarily-shaped faults. Here, we will combine the most flexible and efficient features of several numerical methods. The second part is a continuation of ongoing efforts on defining the critical parameters and conditions describing when dynamic rupture start, propagate, and stop. This involves an analysis of the variation of dynamic rupture velocity in a heterogeneous stress field and in particular, deriving expressions for and numerically estimating the parameters generating rupture propagation in agreement with observations. The third part will examine the feasibility of inverting for the friction, stress, or fracture energy, parameters containing key information about the rupture history, for large earthquakes. We will describe the limitations and accuracy of the inversion, and attempt to apply the method to selected large, well-recorded earthquakes. The three parts of the proposed research all lead towards the ultimate goal of the project, namely to better our understanding of why do earthquakes start, propagate and arrest. Such understanding may lead to successful prediction of earthquakes in the future, thereby mitigating the loss of life and property.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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Corish, S.; Bradley, C.; Olsen, K.B. "Assessment of a nonlinear dynamic rupture inversion technique applied to a synthetic earthquake" Bull. Seis. Soc. Am. , v.1997 , 2007 , p.901 10.1785/0120060066
Fukuyama, E., T. Mikumo, K.B. Olsen "Estimation of the Critical Slip-weakening Distance: Theoretical Background" Bull. Seis. Soc. Am. , v.93 , 2003 , p.1835
Peyrat, S.; Olsen, K.B. "Nonlinear dynamic inversion of the 2000 Western Tottori, Japan, earthquake" Geophysical Research Letters , v.31 , 2004 10.1029/2003GL019058
Peyrat, S.; Olsen, K.B.; Madariaga, R "Which Dynamic Rupture Parameters Can Be Estimated from Strong Ground Motion and Geodetic Data?" Pure and Applied Geophysics , v.16 , 2004 , p.2155 10.1007/s00024-004-2555-9
S. Corish, C. Bradley, K. Olsen "Assessment of a nonlinear dynamic rupture inversion technique applied to a synthetic" Bull. Seis. Soc. Am. , v.97 , 2007 , p.901
T. Mikumo, E. Fukuyama, K.B. Olsen, and Y. Yagi "Stress-breakdown time and critical weakening slip inferred from the slip-velocity functions on earthquake faults" Bull. Seis. Soc. Am. , v.93 , 03 , p.264

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