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Award Abstract # 0348986
CAREER: Urban Land-Use Change in Asia

NSF Org: BCS
Division of Behavioral and Cognitive Sciences
Recipient: THE LELAND STANFORD JUNIOR UNIVERSITY
Initial Amendment Date: March 9, 2004
Latest Amendment Date: February 19, 2008
Award Number: 0348986
Award Instrument: Continuing Grant
Program Manager: Thomas Baerwald
BCS
 Division of Behavioral and Cognitive Sciences
SBE
 Directorate for Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences
Start Date: April 1, 2004
End Date: September 30, 2009 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $430,000.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $430,000.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2004 = $106,802.00
FY 2005 = $79,056.00

FY 2006 = $81,817.00

FY 2007 = $28,974.00

FY 2008 = $0.00
History of Investigator:
  • Karen Seto (Principal Investigator)
    karen.seto@yale.edu
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: Stanford University
450 JANE STANFORD WAY
STANFORD
CA  US  94305-2004
(650)723-2300
Sponsor Congressional District: 16
Primary Place of Performance: Stanford University
450 JANE STANFORD WAY
STANFORD
CA  US  94305-2004
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
16
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): HJD6G4D6TJY5
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): Geography and Spatial Sciences
Primary Program Source: app-0104 
app-0105 

app-0106 

app-0107 

01000809DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 1045, 1187, 9278, EGCH
Program Element Code(s): 135200
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.075

ABSTRACT

The conversion of Earth's land surface to urban uses is one of the most profound human impacts on the global biosphere and the functioning of Earth as a system. Understanding the underlying structure, causal relationship, and feedback interactions between society and urban land-use change is critical for sustainability and human well-being. This Faculty Early Career Development (CAREER) award will fund research that seeks to advance our understanding of the spatial and temporal patterns of urbanization, the demographic, social-institutional, and economic-political causes of urban land-use change, and the feedbacks of urban land-use change on these processes. Building on a comparative framework already established by the PI, this project will use multiple study sites in China and Vietnam as observational laboratories. Recent political and economic reforms in both countries have spurred impressive rates of economic growth which, in only a few decades, have transformed to new urban areas land that had been dedicated to agriculture for centuries. The research will evaluate urban land-use change in contemporary Chinese and Vietnamese cities as an outcome of the dynamic interaction among government policies, population changes, economic factors, investments and local institutions. First, place-based case studies in both countries will be used to test long-held hypotheses about the fundamental causes of urban land conversion. Second, these studies will be used to develop cross-cutting themes and more general theories regarding the interaction among socioeconomic, political, and economic process and urban land-use change. Third, the strength of these interactions across time and space will be evaluated with the ultimate goal of offering a new paradigm about the human drivers of land-use change that addresses the complexities and feedbacks of social and biophysical processes. The spatial and temporal patterns of urban land-use change will be investigated through satellite remote sensing analysis combined with in-depth interviews and archival research to construct land-use histories. The causes, consequences, and feedbacks of urban land-use change will be explored by examining population migration, economic factors, property rights, and policy reforms. The research will analyze census data, household information, in-depth interviews, and economic data from national compendiums at multiple administrative units. The primary significance of these objectives lies in identifying trends and impacts of multiple social processes and their roles in urban land conversion; developing a cross-scale understanding of the social and biophysical transitions underway and the points at which they interact; and developing theories of land-use change processes beyond individual case studies.

The three educational objectives of the project are to initiate an outreach program with a local school through summer research opportunities, to develop a teaching module on urbanization in Asia that can be used in conjunction with a documentary film that the PI already has created, and to develop and implement a new cross-campus GIS course. The project will offer unique learning and research opportunities for students who are traditionally underrepresented in the sciences across multiple academic levels. The participation of these student communities will be broadened through an outreach and mentorship program with a local school that serves low-income and disadvantaged youths and through active student recruitment at Stanford.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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Boucher, A; Seto, KC; Journel, AG "A novel method for mapping land cover changes: Incorporating time and space with geostatistics" IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON GEOSCIENCE AND REMOTE SENSING , v.44 , 2006 , p.3427 View record at Web of Science 10.1009/TGRS.2006.87911
Fragkias, M; Seto, KC "Modeling urban growth in data-sparse environments: a new approach" ENVIRONMENT AND PLANNING B-PLANNING & DESIGN , v.34 , 2007 , p.858 View record at Web of Science
Karen C. Seto "Urban Growth in South China: Winners and Losers of China's Policy Reforms" Petermanns Geographische Mitteilungen , v.148 , 2004 , p.50
Kaufmann, RK; Seto, KC "Change detection, accuracy, and bias in a sequential analysis of Landsat imagery in the Pearl River Delta, China: econometric techniques" AGRICULTURE ECOSYSTEMS & ENVIRONMENT , v.85 , 2001 , p.95 View record at Web of Science
Kaufmann, RK; Seto, KC; Schneider, A; Liu, ZT; Zhou, LM; Wang, WL "Climate response to rapid urban growth: Evidence of a human-induced precipitation deficit" JOURNAL OF CLIMATE , v.20 , 2007 , p.2299 View record at Web of Science 10.1175/JCLI4109.
Liu, WG; Seto, KC; Wu, EY; Gopal, S; Woodcock, CE "ART-MMAP: A neural network approach to subpixel classification" IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON GEOSCIENCE AND REMOTE SENSING , v.42 , 2004 , p.1976 View record at Web of Science 10.1109/TGRS.2004.83189
Schneider, A; Seto, KC; Webster, DR "Urban growth in Chengdu, Western China: application of remote sensing to assess planning and policy outcomes" ENVIRONMENT AND PLANNING B-PLANNING & DESIGN , v.32 , 2005 , p.323 View record at Web of Science 10.1068/b3114
Seto, KC; Fragkias, M "Mangrove conversion and aquaculture development in Vietnam: A remote sensing-based approach for evaluating the Ramsar Convention on Wetlands" GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS , v.17 , 2007 , p.486 View record at Web of Science 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2007.03.00
Seto, KC; Fragkias, M "Quantifying spatiotemporal patterns of urban land-use change in four cities of China with time series landscape metrics" LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY , v.20 , 2005 , p.871 View record at Web of Science 10.1007/s10980-005-5238-
Seto, KC; Kaufmann, RK "Using logit models to classify land cover and land-cover change from Landsat Thematic Mapper" INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING , v.26 , 2005 , p.563 View record at Web of Science 10.1080/0143116051233129927

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