Award Abstract # 2029950
Collaborative Research: RAPID: Addressing Transit Accessibility and Public Health Challenges due to COVID-19

NSF Org: CNS
Division Of Computer and Network Systems
Recipient: VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY
Initial Amendment Date: June 1, 2020
Latest Amendment Date: June 1, 2020
Award Number: 2029950
Award Instrument: Standard Grant
Program Manager: David Corman
CNS
 Division Of Computer and Network Systems
CSE
 Directorate for Computer and Information Science and Engineering
Start Date: June 1, 2020
End Date: December 31, 2021 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $54,912.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $54,912.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2020 = $54,912.00
History of Investigator:
  • Abhishek Dubey (Principal Investigator)
    dabhishe@isis.vanderbilt.edu
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: Vanderbilt University
110 21ST AVE S
NASHVILLE
TN  US  37203-2416
(615)322-2631
Sponsor Congressional District: 05
Primary Place of Performance: Vanderbilt University
1025 16th Avenue South Suite 102
Nashville
TN  US  37212-2328
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
05
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): GTNBNWXJ12D5
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): COVID-19 Research
Primary Program Source: 010N2021DB R&RA CARES Act DEFC N
Program Reference Code(s): 096Z, 7914
Program Element Code(s): 158Y00
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.070
Note: This Award includes Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act funding.

ABSTRACT

The COVID-19 pandemic has not only disrupted the lives of millions but also created exigent operational and scheduling challenges for public transit agencies. Agencies are struggling to maintain transit accessibility with reduced resources, changing ridership patterns, vehicle capacity constraints due to social distancing, and reduced services due to driver unavailability. A number of transit agencies have also begun to help the local food banks deliver food to shelters, which further strains the available resources if not planned optimally. At the same time, the lack of situational information is creating a challenge for riders who need to understand what seating is available on the vehicles to ensure sufficient distancing. In partnership with the transit agencies of Chattanooga, TN, and Nashville, TN, the proposed research will rapidly develop integrated transit operational optimization algorithms, which will provide proactive scheduling and allocation of vehicles to transit and cargo trips, considering exigent vehicle maintenance requirements (i.e., disinfection). A key component of the research is the design of privacy-preserving camera-based ridership detection methods that can help provide commuters with real-time information on available seats considering social-distancing constraints. The datasets and algorithms developed through this program will be swiftly released to the research community in order to encourage a wider collaborative effort that will help other transit agencies that face similar challenges.

The intellectual merit of the proposed research lies in the design and evaluation of integrated operational optimization for both fixed-line and on-demand transit (including paratransit) under atypical capacity constraints, which requires maximizing transit access but minimizing contact. The challenge for optimization is the uncertainties that arise due to the atypical travel time and travel demand distribution, both of which need to be learned online again due to the changed scenarios. While it is possible to optimize these transit modes separately as prior work has done, integrated optimization can lead to significantly better results. However, this is difficult as the solution space of these problems is very large. The approach is based on rapidly composing and comparing the effectiveness of principled decision-theoretic approaches such as Monte Carlo tree search, optimal trip assignments using integer programming and problem-specific heuristics, and demand aggregation for on-demand transit. To develop a model for varying travel demand, the research uses novel neural network architectures to estimate usage and seating patterns in real-time from cameras that are already installed within transit vehicles. This will enable transit agencies to obtain travel demand even when they are running fare-free operations to minimize contact with drivers. Working with partner transit agencies, the researchers will be able to make the services more accessible for the community during these challenging times. This project directly relates to Smart and Connected Communities program as it demonstrates the importance of integration of technical and social research with strong community engagement in improving resilience of transit systems due to pandemics and other crises.

This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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Martinez, Juan and Mukhopadhyay, Ayan and Ayman, Afiya and Wilbur, Michael and Pugliese, Philip and Freudberg, Dan and Laszka, Aron and Dubey, Abhishek "Predicting Public Transportation Load to Estimate the Probability of Social Distancing Violations" Proceedings of the Workshop on AI for Urban Mobility at the 35th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence , 2021 Citation Details
Sun, Ruixiao and Neema, Himanshu and Chen, Yuche and Ugirumurera, Juliette and Severino, Joseph and Pugliese, Philip and Laszka, Aron and Dubey, Abhishek "Transit-Gym: A Simulation and Evaluation Engine for Analysis of Bus Transit Systems" 7th IEEE International Conference on Smart Computing , 2021 Citation Details
Wilbur, Michael and Ayman, Afiya and Ouyang, Anna and Kabir, Riyan and Vadali, Abhiram and Pugliese, Philip and Freudberg, Dan and Laszka, Aron and Dubey, Abhishek "Impact of COVID-19 on Public Transit Accessibility and Ridership" Publications Transportation Research Board , 2021 Citation Details
Wilbur, Michael and Ayman, Afiya and Sivagnanam, Amutheezan and Ouyang, Anna and Poon, Vincent and Kabir, Riyan and Vadali, Abhiram and Pugliese, Philip and Freudberg, Daniel and Laszka, Aron and Dubey, Abhishek "Impact of COVID-19 on Public Transit Accessibility and Ridership" Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board , v.2677 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1177/03611981231160531 Citation Details
Wilbur, Michael and Pugliese, Philip and Laszka, Aron and Dubey, Abhishek "Efficient Data Management for Intelligent Urban Mobility Systems" Proceedings of the Workshop on AI for Urban Mobility at the 35th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-21) , 2021 Citation Details

PROJECT OUTCOMES REPORT

Disclaimer

This Project Outcomes Report for the General Public is displayed verbatim as submitted by the Principal Investigator (PI) for this award. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this Report are those of the PI and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation; NSF has not approved or endorsed its content.

This project aimed to help public transit agencies tackle the exigent operational and planning challenges that the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic created by developing novel computational solutions for collecting and managing transit data and predicting and serving transit demand. These operational and planning challenges include reduced vehicle capacities due to social distancing requirements, reduced transit services due to driver unavailability, decreasing revenues due to fare-free operations, and rapidly changing ridership patterns that deprive transit agencies and riders of situational awareness required for planning ahead. Since public transit services act as the backbones of disadvantaged communities by providing people with access to employment and essential services, it was imperative to address the transit challenges created by COVID-19 promptly.

In partnership with the transit agencies of Chattanooga, TN, and Nashville, TN, we analyzed ridership trends to understand the impact of COVID-19 on transit demand across different socio-economic groups. Further, we applied and evaluated computer-vision techniques for collecting ridership data. We also developed a computational platform for integrating and managing transit data efficiently. In addition, we introduced machine-learning algorithms for predicting ridership. Finally, we proposed algorithms for scheduling transit services. 

To understand the impact of COVID-19 on transit demand and equity, we analyzed ridership data from Chattanooga and Nashville. We identified significant variations across socio-economic groups by combining spatial distributions of ridership decline with demographic and economic data. We found a substantial difference in ridership decline between the highest-income and lowest-income areas (77% vs. 58% in Nashville), and we found that ridership changes were primarily driven by reduced demand instead of limited capacity. The results of this study, which we published at TRB 2021 and made available publicly, can help transit agencies across the U.S. better understand and mitigate the impact of COVID-19 on public transit. 

We applied computer-vision techniques to videos recorded by onboard cameras on transit vehicles to collect ridership data, even during fare-free operations automatically. We evaluated several state-of-the-art methods and found that while each method by itself is inaccurate, we can combine them with other data sources to obtain more accurate data. To help transit agencies integrate and manage vast amounts of heterogeneous and unstructured transit data, we developed a novel computational platform, which we made available to the transit agencies of Chattanooga and Nashville. We also developed novel machine-learning algorithms for predicting transit demand, which can help agencies to plan ahead. Finally, to help with planning, we proposed scheduling algorithms that can optimize the dispatch of additional transit vehicles to mitigate real-time capacity issues that could not be predicted, which pose a significant operational challenge for agencies.

To facilitate the adoption of these results, we developed interactive dashboards for analyzing transit data and for predicting ridership based on our theoretical work, which we have deployed for the transit agencies of Chattanooga and Nashville. The agencies have used our analyses and dashboards to understand better the impact of changing transit services and demand patterns and to inform their effort to improve the allocation of services and resources. We also provided the agencies with demographic analysis to help them with following Title VI guidelines.

We have made our analyses and software artifacts publicly available at https://github.com/smarttransit-ai/transit-occupancy-analysis to foster broader adoption of our results by other transit agencies across the U.S.  This project also providedfunding for PhD students who are from demographic groups thatare traditionally underrepresented in computer science, including Hispanic students.

 

 

 


Last Modified: 04/22/2022
Modified by: Abhishek Dubey

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