Award Abstract # 2017789
Equity and Sustainability: A framework for Equitable Energy Transition Analyses

NSF Org: CBET
Division of Chemical, Bioengineering, Environmental, and Transport Systems
Recipient: CARNEGIE MELLON UNIVERSITY
Initial Amendment Date: May 6, 2020
Latest Amendment Date: August 16, 2023
Award Number: 2017789
Award Instrument: Standard Grant
Program Manager: Bruce Hamilton
CBET
 Division of Chemical, Bioengineering, Environmental, and Transport Systems
ENG
 Directorate for Engineering
Start Date: July 1, 2020
End Date: June 30, 2024 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $399,915.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $447,915.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2020 = $399,915.00
FY 2021 = $16,000.00

FY 2022 = $16,000.00

FY 2023 = $16,000.00
History of Investigator:
  • Destenie Nock (Principal Investigator)
    dnock@andrew.cmu.edu
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: Carnegie-Mellon University
5000 FORBES AVE
PITTSBURGH
PA  US  15213-3890
(412)268-8746
Sponsor Congressional District: 12
Primary Place of Performance: Carnegie Mellon University
5000 Forbes Avenue
Pittsburgh
PA  US  15213-3890
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
12
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): U3NKNFLNQ613
Parent UEI: U3NKNFLNQ613
NSF Program(s): EnvS-Environmtl Sustainability
Primary Program Source: 01002223DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
01002324DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT

01002021DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT

01002122DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 9251
Program Element Code(s): 764300
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.041

ABSTRACT

Decisions regarding transitions from traditional energy sources such as fossil fuels to more sustainable, renewable energy systems impact multiple constituencies, including the most vulnerable members of society. This research addresses two questions: (1) What are transition pathways from non-renewable energy sources (such as fossil fuels) to renewable energy sources (such as wind and solar) for the US electricity sector that can best balance the (sometimes conflicting) objectives of the transition, while accounting for social equity and sustainability? (2) How can transition to a low-carbon electricity system be done in a way that minimizes adverse impacts on the most vulnerable members of society? This research targets creating a new way to account for social equity in the sustainability analysis of transitions to new energy systems, which may help guide decision-makers.

There are many decision makers and constituencies in energy system planning, each of which may make decisions or influence decisions according to their own versions of the desired goals. This research builds and expands upon previous research in three key ways that permit a more robust sustainability assessment of future electricity systems, and incorporates social equity into the energy transition discussion. First, an electricity system expansion model is coupled with a system sustainability model and then examined to ask how increasing carbon constraints are likely to impact power system development, and how important regional cooperation is likely to be in achieving a fully decarbonized US electricity system. Second, social equity will be an integral part of the sustainability analysis framework, thus displaying how other facets of sustainability impede or support an equitable energy transition. Third, to illuminate the social equity trade-offs, how regional cooperation may impact job and price equity around the country will be investigated. This research will be a system sustainability analysis for the entire US that incorporates multiple metrics for social equity, while capturing impacts of integrating intermittent renewables in the grid. The PI will develop an open-source data analysis tool for electricity sustainability analysis, enriching the discussion and uncovering the interactions among sustainability criterion at a national scale. The social equity focused framework is targeted to facilitate national discussions about how energy transition will impact communities in the US. This framework may also help support planning for job recovery of those most affected by the retirement of fossil fuel generation.

This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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Baker, Erin and Nock, Destenie and Levin, Todd and Atarah, Samuel A. and Afful-Dadzie, Anthony and Dodoo-Arhin, David and Ndikumana, Léonce and Shittu, Ekundayo and Muchapondwa, Edwin and Sackey, Charles Van-Hein "Who is marginalized in energy justice? Amplifying community leader perspectives of energy transitions in Ghana" Energy Research & Social Science , v.73 , 2021 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2021.101933 Citation Details
Cong, Shuchen and Nock, Destenie and Qiu, Yueming Lucy and Xing, Bo "Unveiling hidden energy poverty using the energy equity gap" Nature Communications , v.13 , 2022 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-30146-5 Citation Details
Goforth, Teagan and Levin, Todd and Nock, Destenie "Incorporating energy justice and equity objectives in power system models" Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews , v.210 , 2025 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2024.115155 Citation Details
Goforth, Teagan and Nock, Destenie "Air pollution disparities and equality assessments of US national decarbonization strategies" Nature Communications , v.13 , 2022 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-35098-4 Citation Details
Goforth, Teagan and Nock, Destenie and Brown, Maxwell and Ghosh, Tapajyoti and Lamers, Patrick "Exploring equality and sustainability trade-offs of energy transition outcomes in the United States in 2050" Applied Energy , v.367 , 2024 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.123376 Citation Details
Janicke, Lauren and Nock, Destenie and Surana, Kavita and Jordaan, Sarah M. "Air pollution co-benefits from strengthening electric transmission and distribution systems" Energy , v.269 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2023.126735 Citation Details
Lou, Jiehong and Qiu, Yueming (Lucy) and Ku, Arthur Lin and Nock, Destenie and Xing, Bo "Inequitable and heterogeneous impacts on electricity consumption from COVID-19 mitigation measures" iScience , v.24 , 2021 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2021.103231 Citation Details
Marcy, Cara and Goforth, Teagan and Nock, Destenie and Brown, Maxwell "Comparison of temporal resolution selection approaches in energy systems models" Energy , v.251 , 2022 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123969 Citation Details
Pfeiffer, Olivia and Nock, Destenie and Baker, Erin "Wind energy's bycatch: Offshore wind deployment impacts on hydropower operation and migratory fish" Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews , v.143 , 2021 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2021.110885 Citation Details

PROJECT OUTCOMES REPORT

Disclaimer

This Project Outcomes Report for the General Public is displayed verbatim as submitted by the Principal Investigator (PI) for this award. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this Report are those of the PI and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation; NSF has not approved or endorsed its content.

Project Outcomes Report

This project aimed to create a framework that evaluates the trade-offs between economic, social, and environmental sustainability in U.S. decarbonization policies. As the U.S. moves toward renewable energy, it is crucial to ensure that the transition is not only environmentally sustainable but also socially equitable, meaning it benefits all communities, especially those who have historically been left out of the conversation.


Intellectual Merit:

Our work developed a forward-looking model that helps policymakers and researchers analyze how different decarbonization pathways might impact air pollution, jobs, and costs across diverse communities. Most energy transition studies assess outcomes retroactively, but our model allows for proactive analysis, showing potential environmental and social impacts before decisions are made. This approach bridges a critical gap between environmental sustainability and social equity, providing a tool to ensure that the most vulnerable populations are considered in energy policy decisions.

We created and analyzed eight unique scenarios for decarbonizing the U.S. electricity sector, each incorporating different policies such as carbon caps and renewable energy mandates. Our results show that, while all decarbonization strategies reduce overall greenhouse gas emissions, they do not equally benefit all communities. For example, our research revealed that low-income and minority groups could face higher concentrations of air pollutants in some scenarios, despite reductions in overall emissions.

Broader Impacts:

This project has significant implications for the fields of energy policy, urban planning, and social justice. By demonstrating the importance of considering social equity in energy transition plans, our research helps decision-makers identify solutions that are both sustainable and fair. One of our key findings is that equitable outcomes—such as reducing air pollution in vulnerable communities—are achievable when strict renewable energy mandates are implemented. However, trade-offs exist, and higher costs in some regions may be necessary to achieve broader equality in environmental benefits.


Our work also contributed to the development of human resources by training two women graduate students and multiple undergraduate students in energy modeling, data analysis, and sustainability metrics. These students gained experience in cutting-edge research and contributed to papers that have been published in high-impact journals. Several students have gone on to prestigious internships and graduate programs, further expanding their knowledge in sustainable energy and social justice issues.

Overall, this project has provided new tools and insights for balancing sustainability and equity in energy transitions, ensuring that future policies are better designed to meet the needs of all communities.


Last Modified: 10/23/2024
Modified by: Destenie S Nock

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