Award Abstract # 1903735
Collaborative Research: Sea-level rise, coastal wetland expansion, and proglacial lake contributions to abrupt increases in northern atmospheric CH4 during the last deglaciation

NSF Org: OPP
Office of Polar Programs (OPP)
Recipient: UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA FAIRBANKS
Initial Amendment Date: August 9, 2019
Latest Amendment Date: September 18, 2023
Award Number: 1903735
Award Instrument: Standard Grant
Program Manager: Penny Vlahos
pvlahos@nsf.gov
 (703)292-2671
OPP
 Office of Polar Programs (OPP)
GEO
 Directorate for Geosciences
Start Date: September 1, 2019
End Date: August 31, 2024 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $440,263.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $440,263.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2019 = $440,263.00
History of Investigator:
  • Katey Walter Anthony (Principal Investigator)
    kmwalteranthony@alaska.edu
  • Miriam Jones (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Benjamin Jones (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Jonathan O'Donnell (Co-Principal Investigator)
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: University of Alaska Fairbanks Campus
2145 N TANANA LOOP
FAIRBANKS
AK  US  99775-0001
(907)474-7301
Sponsor Congressional District: 00
Primary Place of Performance: University of Alaska Fairbanks
1764 Tanana Loop
Fairbanks
AK  US  99775-5910
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
00
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): FDLEQSJ8FF63
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): ANS-Arctic Natural Sciences
Primary Program Source: 0100XXXXDB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 1079, 9150
Program Element Code(s): 528000
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.078

ABSTRACT

This multidisciplinary research seeks to understand the timing, magnitude, and overall contribution of newly flooded land areas in the northern hemisphere to rapid increases in atmospheric methane concentrations during the last deglaciation (18-8 ka). Polar ice core records reveal dynamic increases in atmospheric methane concentrations during this period, but the source of this methane remains the subject of much debate. This study will measure the isotopic values of methane emissions from field samples to provide region-specific estimates of methane emissions from coastal wetlands, peatlands, proglacial lakes, and other lake types (e.g. thermokarst and post-glacial lakes) since the last deglaciation for comparisons with ice core records. This research will reconstruct the past methane emissions from flooded deglacial land areas (potentially representing unknown northern sources of increased atmospheric methane concentrations during these periods) and assess their role in contributing to the abrupt methane increases observed in in polar ice core records. Knowledge of past methane emissions from newly inundated land areas flooded by sea level rise, wetland expansion, permafrost thaw, and associated lake formation will provide an improved understanding of global climate feedbacks that will likely accelerate in the region. This knowledge is critical to answering larger societal questions about the role of northern systems in global environmental change and our ability to understand the cascade of effects from sea level rise and coastal flooding.

This research uses comprehensive paleoecological records of (a) northern continental shelf areas and coastal wetlands inundated by rapid deglacial sea-level rise (SLR) and (b) proglacial lake areas inundated by glacier and ice-sheet melt to document their past contributions to abrupt increases in atmospheric methane concentrations. The research goals are to: (1) synthesize new and existing shelf, coastal wetland, regional SLR curves, and proglacial-lake initiation data to reconstruct newly inundated areas poleward of 30? N; (2) estimate past methane flux from inundated northern coastal regions as they evolved from methane-consuming forest and grassland areas to higher emitting mudflats, marshes, and freshwater wetlands by integrating new and existing methane fluxes into an empirical model; (3) analyze new and existing methane fluxes from proglacial lakes of different sizes, ages and geographies to build an empirical model for reconstructing proglacial lake emissions from 18 ka to present (with an emphasis on the deglacial period,18-8 ka); (4) use stable isotopes (∂13C, ∂D) of methane and 14C dating to constrain the magnitude and timing of methane flux from these newly flooded land areas; and (5) compare our reconstructions of past methane emissions and isotope fluxes from inundated shelves, coastal wetlands, and proglacial lakes with global atmospheric methane constraints based on recent, higher resolution data of methane isotopes (∂13C, ∂D, 14C) from Greenland and Antarctic ice cores using atmospheric box modeling.

This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

Note:  When clicking on a Digital Object Identifier (DOI) number, you will be taken to an external site maintained by the publisher. Some full text articles may not yet be available without a charge during the embargo (administrative interval).

Some links on this page may take you to non-federal websites. Their policies may differ from this site.

(Showing: 1 - 10 of 22)
Brosius, Laura S and Walter_Anthony, Katey M and Lowell, Thomas V and Anthony, Peter and Chanton, Jeffery P and Jones, Miriam C and Grosse, Guido and Breckenridge, Andy J "Methane emissions from proglacial lakes: A synthesis study directed toward Lake Agassiz" Quaternary Science Reviews , v.344 , 2024 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108975 Citation Details
Brosius, L.S. and Anthony, K.M. Walter and Treat, C.C. and Lenz, J. and Jones, M.C. and Bret-Harte, M.S. and Grosse, G. "Spatiotemporal patterns of northern lake formation since the Last Glacial Maximum" Quaternary Science Reviews , v.253 , 2021 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2020.106773 Citation Details
Brosius, L. S. and Walter Anthony, K. M. and Treat, C. C. and Jones, M. C. and Dyonisius, M. and Grosse, G. "Panarctic lakes exerted a small positive feedback on early Holocene warming due to deglacial release of methane" Communications Earth & Environment , v.4 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00930-2 Citation Details
Engram, Melanie and Anthony, Katey Walter "Synthetic aperture radar (SAR) detects large gas seeps in Alaska lakes" Environmental Research Letters , v.19 , 2024 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad2b2a Citation Details
Ernakovich, J. G. and Eklund, N. and Varner, R. K. and Kirchner, N. and Jeuring, J. and Duderstadt, K. and Granebeck, A. and Golubeva, E. "Is A Common Goal A False Hope in Convergence Research?: Opportunities and Challenges of International Convergence Research to Address Arctic Change" Earth's Future , v.9 , 2021 https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001865 Citation Details
EstopAragonés, Cristian and Olefeldt, David and Abbott, Benjamin W. and Chanton, Jeffrey P. and Czimczik, Claudia I. and Dean, Joshua F. and Egan, Jocelyn E. and Gandois, Laure and Garnett, Mark H. and Hartley, Iain P. and Hoyt, Alison and Lupascu, Massi "Assessing the Potential for Mobilization of Old Soil Carbon After Permafrost Thaw: A Synthesis of 14 C Measurements From the Northern Permafrost Region" Global Biogeochemical Cycles , v.34 , 2020 https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GB006672 Citation Details
Fuchs, Matthias and Jones, Miriam C and Gowan, Evan J and Frolking, Steve and Walter_Anthony, Katey and Grosse, Guido and Jones, Benjamin M and O'Donnell, Jonathan A and Brosius, Laura and Treat, Claire "Methane flux from Beringian coastal wetlands for the past 20,000 years" Quaternary Science Reviews , v.344 , 2024 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108976 Citation Details
Hugelius, Gustaf and Loisel, Julie and Chadburn, Sarah and Jackson, Robert B. and Jones, Miriam and MacDonald, Glen and Marushchak, Maija and Olefeldt, David and Packalen, Maara and Siewert, Matthias B. and Treat, Claire and Turetsky, Merritt and Voigt, C "Large stocks of peatland carbon and nitrogen are vulnerable to permafrost thaw" Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , v.117 , 2020 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1916387117 Citation Details
Jones, Benjamin M. and Grosse, Guido and Farquharson, Louise M. and Roy-Léveillée, Pascale and Veremeeva, Alexandra and Kanevskiy, Mikhail Z. and Gaglioti, Benjamin V. and Breen, Amy L. and Parsekian, Andrew D. and Ulrich, Mathias and Hinkel, Kenneth M. "Lake and drained lake basin systems in lowland permafrost regions" Nature Reviews Earth & Environment , v.3 , 2022 https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-021-00238-9 Citation Details
Jones, Miriam C. and Grosse, Guido and Treat, Claire and Turetsky, Merritt and Anthony, Katey Walter and Brosius, Laura "Past permafrost dynamics can inform future permafrost carbon-climate feedbacks" Communications Earth & Environment , v.4 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00886-3 Citation Details
Lamb, Angela L and Barst, Benjamin D and Elder, Clayton D and Engels, Stefan and Francis, Chris and van_Hardenbroek, Maarten and Heiri, Oliver and Lombino, Alex and Robson, Hannah J and Walter_Anthony, Katey and Wooller, Matthew J "Stable isotope analyses of lacustrine chitinous invertebrate remains: Analytical advances, challenges and potential" Quaternary Science Reviews , v.346 , 2024 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.109067 Citation Details
(Showing: 1 - 10 of 22)

PROJECT OUTCOMES REPORT

Disclaimer

This Project Outcomes Report for the General Public is displayed verbatim as submitted by the Principal Investigator (PI) for this award. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this Report are those of the PI and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation; NSF has not approved or endorsed its content.

Methane is a potent greenhouse gas, whose atmospheric sources and climate feedbacks during the last deglaciation (time period ranging from 14,700 to 9,500 years ago), are not well known. Ice cores collected from Greenland demonstrate that abrupt (decadal-scale) increases in North Atlantic temperature and precipitation coincided with an abrupt rise in atmospheric methane concentration (AMC). The origin of this climate/methane coupling likely reflects a strong teleconnection between terrestrial ecosystems and abrupt climate change that is at least hemispheric in extent. While low latitude wetlands are generally accepted to be the major source of atmospheric methane during the last glacial termination, the interpolar methane gradient, an indicator of the latitudinal distribution of methane sources computed from the methane concentration difference between contemporaneous Greenland and Antarctic ice cores, suggests that a new northern high latitude source contributed up to 41% of the new global methane emissions during 11,500 to 9,500 years ago. The source of the increase in northern AMC remains the subject of much debate. Several hypotheses have been put forth to explain the rise in AMC, including the release of methane clathrates, northern peatland development, and the formation of thermokarst (permafrost thaw) lakes. Radiocarbon ages of methane in the Greenland ice cores further constrained the AMC increase to a source(es) dominated by contemporary (not radiocarbon-depleted) methane-carbon, such as wetlands.

The overarching goal of this project was to integrate paleoecology, climatology, biogeochemistry, geomorphology, and geology to understand the timing, magnitude, and contribution of previously-unaccounted-for, extensive land areas poleward of 30 °N flooded by ice-sheet melt and sea-level rise to abrupt increases in northern atmospheric methane sources during the last deglaciation. We built upon our existing syntheses of northern peatland and lake databases to include deglacial-period methane emissions from terrestrial environments that were rapidly inundated by ice-sheet melt. These include previously exposed continental shelves and terrestrial ecosystems that transitioned to coastal wetlands (including mudflats and deltas) and proglacial lakes formed by impoundment of meltwater in front of ice sheets. We hypothesized that methane emissions from these extensive, flooded terrestrial ecosystems constituted a significant feedback between sea level rise and climate through the warming effect of atmospheric methane. These sources of contemporary methane would be consistent with polar ice core records.

During the past 20,000 years, more than 2.8 million square kilometers of previously unglaciated coastal, near-shore areas of today's Bering, Chukchi, Laptev, and East Siberian seas were flooded due to the melting of the Laurentide, Cordilleran, and Eurasian ice sheets. This now-inundated shelf and land area (an area larger than Greenland), is known as ‵Beringia‵. We estimated methane emissions from coastal wetlands in Beringia for the past 20,000 years by applying modern-day emissions to the extent of reconstructed coastal wetland areas based on an extended geospatial analysis of inundated coastal areas during sea level rise. Maximum emissions (1.6-7.5 Tg CH4/year) 14,000 years ago preceded peak emissions from northern peatlands and thermokarst lakes, better aligning with polar ice core reconstructions of the northern source.

While large proglacial lakes collectively flooded millions of square kilometers in the northern hemisphere over the last deglacial period, we focused our reconstruction on potential methane emissions from a single, large proglacial lake, Lake Agassiz in North America. Combining paleorecords of sediment organic geochemistry, sediment carbon accumulation, and paleolake area and bathymetry with observations of present-day proglacial lake methane emissions (including those based on novel remote sensing approaches), we estimated that Lake Agassiz contributed 0.4-2.7 Tg CH4/year during the last deglaciation. Although poor constraints of past global proglacial lake areas and morphologies currently prevent extrapolation of our results, we suggest that these systems were likely an additional source of methane (adding to coastal wetlands, thermokarst lake and glacial lake emissions) during the last deglacial transition that require further study.

Knowledge of past methane emissions from newly inundated land areas by sea-level rise, ice-sheet melt, wetland expansion, permafrost thaw, and associated lake formation provides understanding of global climate feedbacks that will likely accelerate in arctic regions. This knowledge is critical to answering larger societal questions on the role of northern systems in global environmental change and to the validation of Earth system models needed to project future climate states. Senior scientists on the project trained and supervised a number of graduate and undergraduate students and postdoctoral scholars. Project participants gave presentations at universities and to the general public on issues of arctic lakes, coastal wetlands, permafrost, glaciers, ice sheets, and climate-change feedbacks during the last deglaciation and Holocene, and contributed to multiple peer-reviewed articles summarizing the state of knowledge and research on these topics.


Last Modified: 01/06/2025
Modified by: Katey M Walter Anthony

Please report errors in award information by writing to: awardsearch@nsf.gov.

Print this page

Back to Top of page