Award Abstract # 1848683
Convergence: RAISE: Systems Approaches for Vulnerability Evaluation and Urban Resilience

NSF Org: CBET
Division of Chemical, Bioengineering, Environmental, and Transport Systems
Recipient: NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY
Initial Amendment Date: September 7, 2018
Latest Amendment Date: May 19, 2021
Award Number: 1848683
Award Instrument: Standard Grant
Program Manager: Bruce Hamilton
CBET
 Division of Chemical, Bioengineering, Environmental, and Transport Systems
ENG
 Directorate for Engineering
Start Date: September 15, 2018
End Date: August 31, 2022 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $1,000,000.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $1,162,931.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2018 = $1,000,000.00
FY 2020 = $63,000.00

FY 2021 = $99,931.00
History of Investigator:
  • Aaron Packman (Principal Investigator)
    a-packman@northwestern.edu
  • Marcelo Garcia (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Scott Collis (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Sera Young (Co-Principal Investigator)
  • Daniel Horton (Co-Principal Investigator)
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: Northwestern University
633 CLARK ST
EVANSTON
IL  US  60208-0001
(312)503-7955
Sponsor Congressional District: 09
Primary Place of Performance: Northwestern University
2145 Sheridan Road, A314
Evanston
IL  US  60208-3100
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
09
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): EXZVPWZBLUE8
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): GCR-Growing Convergence Resear,
SSA-Special Studies & Analysis,
EnvE-Environmental Engineering,
GOALI-Grnt Opp Acad Lia wIndus,
Hydrologic Sciences,
EnvS-Environmtl Sustainability
Primary Program Source: 01001819DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
01002021DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT

01002122DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 019Z, 049Z, 096Z, 1504, 9102, 9251
Program Element Code(s): 062Y00, 138500, 144000, 150400, 157900, 764300
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.041

ABSTRACT

The inability to assess and predict the extent and impact of extreme weather conditions within cities is a critical vulnerability. Urban floods come from overflowing rivers and streams as well as insufficient drainage from impervious surface structures. The lack of neighborhood-scale forecasts for flooding hampers social and public health intervention efforts. Similar limitations exist for air quality and heat island/temperature impacts. This research project will combine perspectives from natural, social, data and engineering sciences to improve the prediction of weather patterns, air quality, flooding, and social and economic impacts at the neighborhood scale. Sensor installations and model simulations will be used to examine the potential for green infrastructure to reduce flooding, moderate heat waves, and improve air quality locally and across the region. Models that integrate across rainfall, topography, urban infrastructure and impervious surfaces are not currently viable or available. This research project will enable the integration of water routing mechanisms that were previous treated separately and can now be considered as portions of a larger more complex problem. Project results will be directly used for vulnerability assessment and infrastructure design in Chicago neighborhoods.

This convergence project will catalyze new multi-level urban assessment and prediction capabilities; yield new capacity for city-scale simulations of links between weather, infrastructure, and population vulnerability; and demonstrate the application of this new systems-level prediction framework to adaptive green infrastructure design. The principle components of the project include (1) installation and utilization of remote and distributed sensing to measure impacts; (2) high-resolution infrastructure/environmental models that elucidate links between severe weather, urban infrastructure, and vulnerability; and (3) an assessment of co-occurring social and economic impacts as a result of extreme weather, infrastructure and urban topography. Many graduate students and postdocs will be directly engaged in the project. The project will contribute vulnerability maps to local jurisdictions and will encourage government and public/private discourse on urban vulnerability to extreme weather as well as potential resilience strategies. Project data will be publicly available through the Chicago Data Portal.

This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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(Showing: 1 - 10 of 15)
Callahan, Christopher W. and Schnell, Jordan L. and Horton, Daniel E. "MultiIndex Attribution of Extreme Winter Air Quality in Beijing, China" Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres , v.124 , 2019 https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029738 Citation Details
Deser, C. and Lehner, F. and Rodgers, K. B. and Ault, T. and Delworth, T. L. and DiNezio, P. N. and Fiore, A. and Frankignoul, C. and Fyfe, J. C. and Horton, D. E. and Kay, J. E. and Knutti, R. and Lovenduski, N. S. and Marotzke, J. and McKinnon, K. A. an "Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects" Nature Climate Change , v.10 , 2020 10.1038/s41558-020-0731-2 Citation Details
Diffenbaugh, Noah S. and Field, Christopher B. and Appel, Eric A. and Azevedo, Ines L. and Baldocchi, Dennis D. and Burke, Marshall and Burney, Jennifer A. and Ciais, Philippe and Davis, Steven J. and Fiore, Arlene M. and Fletcher, Sarah M. and Hertel, Th "The COVID-19 lockdowns: a window into the Earth System" Nature Reviews Earth & Environment , v.1 , 2020 https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-020-0079-1 Citation Details
Horton, Daniel E. "Assessing co-benefits incentivizes climate-mitigation action" One Earth , v.4 , 2021 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2021.08.003 Citation Details
Horton, Daniel E and Schnell, Jordan L and Peters, Daniel R and Wong, David C and Lu, Xi and Gao, Hao and Zhang, Hongliang and Kinney, Patrick L "Effect of adoption of electric vehicles on public health and air pollution in China: a modelling study" The Lancet Planetary Health , v.5 , 2021 https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(21)00092-9 Citation Details
Montgomery, Anastasia and Schnell, Jordan L. and Adelman, Zachariah and Janssen, Mark and Horton, Daniel E. "Simulation of NeighborhoodScale Air Quality With TwoWay Coupled WRFCMAQ Over Southern Lake MichiganChicago Region" Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres , v.128 , 2023 https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037942 Citation Details
Montgomery, Anastasia and Schnell, Jordan L and Rogin, Amy and Horton, Daniel E "Health Benefits of Electrifying Chicago's Municipal Vehicle Fleet" The Lancet Planetary Health , v.5 , 2021 https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(21)00105-4 Citation Details
Ouellet, Valerie and Khamis, Kieran and Croghan, Danny and Hernandez Gonzalez, Liliane M. and Rivera, Vivien A. and Phillips, Collin B. and Packman, Aaron I. and Miller, William M. and Hawke, Richard G. and Hannah, David M. and Krause, Stefan "Green roof vegetation management alters potential for water quality and temperature mitigation" Ecohydrology , v.14 , 2021 https://doi.org/10.1002/eco.2321 Citation Details
Peters, D. R. and Schnell, J. L. and Kinney, P. L. and Naik, V. and Horton, D. E. "Public Health and Climate Benefits and TradeOffs of U.S. Vehicle Electrification" GeoHealth , v.4 , 2020 https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GH000275 Citation Details
Scannell Bryan, Molly and Sun, Jiehuan and Jagai, Jyotsna and Horton, Daniel E. and Montgomery, Anastasia and Sargis, Robert and Argos, Maria "Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mortality and neighborhood characteristics in Chicago" Annals of Epidemiology , v.56 , 2021 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annepidem.2020.10.011 Citation Details
Schnell, J. L. and Peters, D. R. and Wong, D. C. and Lu, X. and Guo, H. and Zhang, H. and Kinney, P. L. and Horton, D. E. "Potential for Electric Vehicle Adoption to Mitigate Extreme Air Quality Events in China" Earth's Future , v.9 , 2021 https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001788 Citation Details
(Showing: 1 - 10 of 15)

PROJECT OUTCOMES REPORT

Disclaimer

This Project Outcomes Report for the General Public is displayed verbatim as submitted by the Principal Investigator (PI) for this award. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this Report are those of the PI and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation; NSF has not approved or endorsed its content.

This project assessed the vulnerability of cities to extreme weather and developed strategies to reduce these vulnerabilities. The project conducted assessments of extreme weather conditions, air quality, flooding, and community health impacts with a wide range of partner organizations in the Chicago metro area. The project team worked with community organizations to understand the effects of extreme weather on urban residents, and engaged conservation and planning organizations to evaluate potential nature-based solutions for these problems. The advancements made by the project allow better pinpointing of extreme precipitation, poor air quality, and neighborhood flooding. Project-generated data and tools support improved land use planning and nature-based solutions to alleviate the negative effects of extreme weather.

Research supported by this grant developed methods to better measure and predict urban microclimate, air pollutants, and flooding at neighborhood scales. The project used advanced weather radars to obtain high-resolution information on rainfall rates and patterns in cities. The project also built and deployed distributed sensor networks to directly measure air quality and flooding in urban neighborhoods. The project team used the resulting data with models to determine how changes in urban land use, transportation systems, and stormwater infrastructure can reduce impacts from heat waves, poor air quality, and flooding.  

Surveys and interviews showed that Chicago residents have a high level of concern about extreme weather events, but minimal knowledge on how to mitigate the impacts of these events. The survey results also show the importance of communities understanding the function of greenspace in their neighborhood. Communities prioritized green infrastructure solutions that meet multiple needs, such as community greenspaces that provide benefits for recreation, air quality, and flood management. 

The project substantially improved methods for assessing the effects of nature-based solutions such parks, green streets, and nature preserves on flooding in urban neighborhoods. This enables development of more usable greenspaces, such as community gardens and schools, that both support community activity and provide protection against flooding.  Monitoring schemes and sensor networks developed in this research are now used for green infrastructure management by governmental and community-based organizations across the Chicago area.  

Project results have informed urban planning, sustainability, vulnerability, and climate resilience efforts in Chicago.  Project-generated data, information systems, and modeling tools are used in urban vulnerability assessments and land-use planning, particularly for vulnerability to extreme weather events such as storms and heat waves. Instrumentation and data analysis tools have been transferred to partners who own and manage sites, including the Chicago Park District, The Nature Conservancy, and the Academy for Global Citizenship (a Chicago Public Charter School).  Project results are also used by government agencies that are responsible for designing infrastructure to reduce extreme weather impacts, such as the Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning and the Metropolitan Water Reclamation District of Greater Chicago. Improved greenspace designs and monitoring strategies are being incorporated into county-wide programs for flooding reduction. 

Additional project efforts focused on improving community health.  A partnership with the Chicago Department of Public Health (CDPH) supported activities included mapping environmental health disparities, new methods to monitor COVID-19 prevalence, and strategies to reduce health inequities.  This partnership yielded a new Chicago-area working group focused on vulnerability assessment for extreme events, such as heat waves, that can be used to target regional investments and guide emergency response. Project-generated tools were also used to develop wastewater-based methods for pandemic monitoring. The project team designed strategies for sampling sewer systems to monitor the prevalence of COVID-19 infections, with sampling locations selected based on the sewer system configuration, community vulnerability, and total population coverage. This wastewater surveillance program was implemented by CDPH in 2021 and is currently used to monitor both COVID-19 and influenza.

 


Last Modified: 12/30/2022
Modified by: Aaron Packman

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