Award Abstract # 1658827
Doctoral Dissertation Research in Economics: Urban Transit Infrastructure and the Growth of Cities

NSF Org: SES
Division of Social and Economic Sciences
Recipient: THE TRUSTEES OF COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY IN THE CITY OF NEW YORK
Initial Amendment Date: January 26, 2017
Latest Amendment Date: January 26, 2017
Award Number: 1658827
Award Instrument: Standard Grant
Program Manager: seung hong
SES
 Division of Social and Economic Sciences
SBE
 Directorate for Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences
Start Date: March 1, 2017
End Date: February 28, 2018 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $18,240.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $18,240.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2017 = $18,240.00
History of Investigator:
  • Donald Davis (Principal Investigator)
    drd28@columbia.edu
  • Sun Kyoung Lee (Co-Principal Investigator)
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: Columbia University
615 W 131ST ST
NEW YORK
NY  US  10027-7922
(212)854-6851
Sponsor Congressional District: 13
Primary Place of Performance: Columbia University
NY  US  10027-7922
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
13
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): F4N1QNPB95M4
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): Economics
Primary Program Source: 01001718DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 1320, 9178, 9179
Program Element Code(s): 132000
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.075

ABSTRACT

This project investigates how the provision of urban transportation infrastructure affect growth within cities and property values. Quantifying the effect of transportation projects on city growth and property values has proven difficult for at least two reasons. First, transportation infrastructure may produce growth and a rise in property values, but the latter may also lead to transportation projects. Second, some of the largest and most interesting transportation projects were undertaken long before the advent of computers, so that the associated data has been locked up in disparate paper records. To address these issues, the investigator exploits a unique historical setting in the introduction of the mass-public transit infrastructure in New York City, and further creates novel datasets that have not existed in machine-readable form. These new datasets provide a very high level of geographic resolution and enable the study of spatial economic interactions at a similarly high level of resolution within the city. This extensive database helps shed light on the evolution of spatial development in the city as transportation infrastructure is developed.

This project develops a structural model describing the expansion of the transit network and associated reorganization of economic activities within the city. To achieve this goal, the investigator (1) constructs an integrated spatial framework that explicitly models the impact of transit shocks on location choices of households and firms; (2) digitizes and creates a novel dataset of the late nineteenth and twentieth century New York City and its surrounding areas; (3) takes the data to the model and applies the framework to measure the impact of urban transit infrastructure; (4) develops an identification strategy that allows the estimated impacts to have a causal interpretation. This project provides an integrated framework that can be applicable to many fields where spatial linkages are present, contributing to integrate the fields of trade, economic geography, and urban economics in a unified framework. Results and tools developed from this proposal can be readily incorporated to other circumstances, enabling more theoretically-grounded empirical analyses. Using this structural estimation approach, researchers can conduct both retrospective and prospective policy analysis. Finally, the database created from this project can allow researchers to investigate complex general equilibrium effects in the presence of multiple spatial linkages.

PROJECT OUTCOMES REPORT

Disclaimer

This Project Outcomes Report for the General Public is displayed verbatim as submitted by the Principal Investigator (PI) for this award. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this Report are those of the PI and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation; NSF has not approved or endorsed its content.

This project investigates how the provision of urban transportation infrastructure affect growth within cities and property values, and internal migration. Quantifying the effect of transportation projects on this topic has proven difficult for at least three reasons; first, transportation infrastructure may produce growth and a rise in property values, but the latter may also lead to transportation projects; second, some of the largest and most interesting transportation projects were undertaken long before the advent of computers, so that the associated data has been locked up in disparate paper records; third, individual-level records exist primarily in cross-sectional form and absence of time-invariant individuals identifiers (i.e. social security number) has been a barrier to follow individuals over time.

This project tackles such difficulties through the implementation of frontier digital technology including optical character recognition software, Geographic Information System-based spatial analyses, and artificial intelligence called “machine learning” and creates a massive US historical database to understand how the introduction of the mass-public transit infrastructure in New York City had impacted people with different levels of skill differentially, the city’s economic growth by reducing the spatial frictions in the city. These new datasets provide a very high level of geographic resolution and enable the study of spatial economic interactions at a similarly high level of resolution within the city. This extensive database helps shed light on the evolution of spatial development in the city as transportation infrastructure is developed.

This project develops tools and database to capture the expansion of the transit network and associated reorganization of economic activities within the city. The investigator has accomplished these goals by (1) constructing an integrated spatial framework that explicitly models the impact of transit shocks on location choices of households and follows individuals through constructed longitudinal data from US Census Federal Demographic records; (2) creating novel database of the late nineteenth and twentieth-century New York City and its surrounding areas; (3) developing an identification strategy that allows the estimated impacts to have a causal interpretation.

This project provides an integrated framework that can be applicable to many fields where spatial linkages are present, contributing to integrate the fields of economic geography, urban economics, history, and sociology. Results and tools developed from this proposal can be readily incorporated into other circumstances, enabling more theoretically-grounded empirical analyses. Finally, the database created from this project can allow researchers to investigate complex general equilibrium effects in the presence of multiple spatial linkages.

 


Last Modified: 06/29/2018
Modified by: Sun Kyoung Lee

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