Award Abstract # 1536319
Collaborative Research: Online Hazard Communication in the Terse Regime: Measurement, Modeling, and Dynamics

NSF Org: CMMI
Division of Civil, Mechanical, and Manufacturing Innovation
Recipient: UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA IRVINE
Initial Amendment Date: August 25, 2015
Latest Amendment Date: September 7, 2018
Award Number: 1536319
Award Instrument: Standard Grant
Program Manager: Walter Peacock
CMMI
 Division of Civil, Mechanical, and Manufacturing Innovation
ENG
 Directorate for Engineering
Start Date: September 1, 2015
End Date: August 31, 2020 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $458,876.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $443,584.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2015 = $343,876.00
FY 2016 = $49,743.00

FY 2018 = $49,965.00
History of Investigator:
  • Carter Butts (Principal Investigator)
    buttsc@uci.edu
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: University of California-Irvine
160 ALDRICH HALL
IRVINE
CA  US  92697-0001
(949)824-7295
Sponsor Congressional District: 47
Primary Place of Performance: University of California-Irvine
Social Science Plaza A, Rm 2145
CA  US  92697-5100
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
47
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): MJC5FCYQTPE6
Parent UEI: MJC5FCYQTPE6
NSF Program(s): HDBE-Humans, Disasters, and th
Primary Program Source: 01001516DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
01001617RB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT

01001819RB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 041E, 042E, 1576, 9150
Program Element Code(s): 163800
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.041

ABSTRACT

Social media use by emergency management organizations has surged in the past five years, reflecting both the increasing use of social media technologies by the general population and the potential for social media to facilitate key emergency response tasks. These tasks include diffusion of emergency warnings and alerts; establishing and maintaining networks of communication among responding organizations; and collecting information on public needs as the crisis unfolds. While social media encompasses a diverse array of technologies and practices, particular interest has converged on the practices and processes of short text message exchange under time constrained and dynamic conditions - a communication context known as the "terse regime." Though social media are an increasingly important fixture of the emergency management landscape, the study of online communication in response to extreme events is still quite young and theory development has lagged. This research will fill this gap by advancing our ability to measure and model the processes governing terse-regime communication in emergency settings, and by linking these to the tasks required of emergency management organizations. This research has the potential to fundamentally transform our understanding of and theoretical orientation to terse hazard communication processes at a particularly critical time in the disaster life cycle. Importantly, the findings from this research will provide the empirical basis necessary to inform future decision making strategies to utilize social media for warnings and public risk communication across all hazards and will be transferable to multiple channels; will lead to greater understanding of the networked patterns of communication among the public; and will enable the prediction of how organizations themselves will act in a distributed, online environment.

To accomplish this, this research will develop novel measurement techniques and formal theoretical models for understanding the dynamics of online communicative behavior in the terse regime. The research will address the following questions: What governs the allocation of attention of the online public to specific organizations and messages during disaster, and how does this affect retransmission of terse messages? What governs the dynamics of organizations' online terse-regime communications and how does their behavior evolve in response to hazard stimuli, public behavior, or their own interactions? How does informal online response vary across time and space in terms of both message production and message transmission? And how can we better recognize, detect, and measure online communicative processes in response to hazard events? To answer these questions, the research will pursue several linked activities including the collection of a systematic, baseline controlled longitudinal backbone sample of hazard-related communication from a prominent micro-blogging site over a three year period, supplemented by demographic and other information on hazards, online warnings and alerts, and the impacted populations; collection of detailed data on online communication by and interactions among organizations involved in emergency response activities in a major U.S. metropolitan area; development of agent-based and other theory-driven models for terse message transmission, organizational interaction and communication behavior, and allocation of attention to official communications online; and development of novel techniques for measuring the public's online response to hazard events and for distinguishing between responses generation by specific social processes or by particular sub-populations.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

Note:  When clicking on a Digital Object Identifier (DOI) number, you will be taken to an external site maintained by the publisher. Some full text articles may not yet be available without a charge during the embargo (administrative interval).

Some links on this page may take you to non-federal websites. Their policies may differ from this site.

Gibson, C. Ben; Sutton, Jeannette; Vos, Sarah C.; and Butts, Carter T. "Practical Methods for Imputing Follower Count Dynamics" Sociological Methods and Research , 2020
Olson, M. K., Sutton, J., Vos, S.C. , Prestley, R., Renshaw, S. L., & Butts, C. T. "Build community before the storm: The National Weather Service?s use of social media" Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management , 2019
Olson, M. K., Vos, S. C., & Sutton, J. "Threat and efficacy in television news: Reporting on an emerging infectious disease" Science Communication , 2020
Sutton, J. "Health communication trolls and bots v. public health agencies? trusted voices." American Journal of Public Health , 2018
Sutton, Jeannette and Kaufmann, R. "Designing Imminent Threat Messages for an Unfamiliar Hazard" Communication Teacher , 2017
Sutton, Jeannette; Renshaw, Scott L.; Vos, Sarah C.; Olson, Michele K.; Prestley, Robert C.; Gibson, C. Ben; and Butts, Carter T. "Getting the Word Out, Rain or Shine: The Impact of Message Features and Hazard Context on Message Passing Online" Weather, Climate, and Society , 2019 https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-19-0021.1
Sutton, Jeannette; Vos, Sarah C.; Olson, Micki K.; Woods, C. W.; Cohen, E.; Gibson, C. Ben; Phillips, Nolan; Studts, J.; Eberth, J.; and Butts, Carter T. "Lung Cancer Messages on Twitter: Content Analysis and Evaluation" Journal of the American College of Radiology , 2018
Vos, Sarah C.; Sutton, Jeannette; Gibson, C. Ben; and Butts, Carter T. "Ebola: Emergency Risk Messages on Social Media" Health Security , v.18 , 2020 , p.461 10.1089/hs.2019.0158
Vos, S. C.,Sutton, J., Gibson, C. B., & Butts, C. T. "Celebrity cancer on Twitter: Mapping a novel opportunity for cancer prevention" Cancer Control , 2019
Vos, S. C., Sutton, J., Yue, Y., Renshaw, S., Olson, M. K., Gibson, C. B., & Butts, C. T. "Retweeting risk communication: The role of threat and efficacy" Risk Analysis , 2018

PROJECT OUTCOMES REPORT

Disclaimer

This Project Outcomes Report for the General Public is displayed verbatim as submitted by the Principal Investigator (PI) for this award. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this Report are those of the PI and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation; NSF has not approved or endorsed its content.

Social media use by emergency management organizations has surged in recent years, reflecting both the increasing use of social media technologies by the general population and the potential for social media to facilitate key emergency response tasks. These tasks include diffusion of emergency warnings and alerts; establishing and maintaining networks of communication among responding organizations; and collecting information on public needs as the crisis unfolds.  While social media encompasses a diverse array of technologies and practices, particular interest has converged on the practices and processes of short text message exchange under time constrained and dynamic conditions ? a communication context known as the "terse regime." Though social media are an increasingly important fixture of the emergency management landscape, the study of online communication in response to extreme events is still quite young and theory development has lagged. This research has helped to fill this gap by advancing our ability to measure and model the processes governing terse-regime communication in emergency settings, and by linking these to the tasks required of emergency management organizations.


This research combined empirical case-based and comparative analyses of hazard events with the development of novel measurement techniques and formal theoretical models for understanding the dynamics of online communicative behavior in the terse regime. Among the questions addressed by this work have been the following: What governs the allocation of attention of the online public to specific organizations and messages during disaster, and how does this affect retransmission of terse messages? What governs the dynamics of organizations? online terse-regime communications and how does their behavior evolve in response to hazard stimuli, public behavior, or their own interactions? How does informal online response vary across time and space in terms of both message production and message transmission? And how can we better recognize, detect, and measure online communicative processes in response to hazard events?  This project has helped develop an evidence base for both better understanding online communication regarding hazards, and for more effective hazard communication.

Intellectual merits of the work include the following.  This research has helped to expand understanding of the Social Amplification of Risk Framework, and the factors that enhance or inhibit message diffusion in the terse regime.   This work has expanded upon the Extended Parallel Process Model, particularly in the context of responses to the Zika virus and its threat to global populations. Work from this project on both Zika and Ebola has elucidated the factors that influence message transmission in high-uncertainty and high-ambiguity situations, providing a theoretically important contrast with more conventional hazards such as floods and tornadoes. This has led to the development of the Risk Communication on Social Media framework (published in Risk Analysis), and provided the foundation for current and ongoing rapid response work in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic.  With respect to engagement, this research has led to an evidence-based model of social media engagement and quantitative models of online retransmission of communications by public agencies.  These include the first systematic comparisons of message retransmission during threat and non-threat periods, informing recommendations to practitioners on how to increase the reach of their messages during periods of both normal activity and imminent threat.  This work also developed new approaches to modeling the dynamics of attentional networks, opening up a new direction for empirical and theoretical research both in the hazards community and beyond.

Broader impacts of this research include the following.  Research from this project has provided an evidence base for effective engagement and messaging strategies aimed at maximizing message retransmission online, with specific application areas ranging from meteorological hazards to emerging diseases.  This work has already informed recommendations for practice in the writing of short warning messages by public agencies, and has been disseminated to the practitioner community by a combination of publication, presentation to practitioner audiences, and personal communication.  Work from this project formed the foundation of rapid response work on the COVID-19 pandemic, which has already led to several studies providing an evidence base for effective messaging in response to this unfolding disaster.  Finally, the project has provided interdisciplinary training, infrastructure, and data resources for undergraduate, graduate, and postdoctoral researchers, supporting several Masters projects and multiple PhDs.  Project alumni have take positions in public agencies, private industry, and academia, where they are able to employ lessons learned in this research to both basic and applied problems.


Last Modified: 01/11/2021
Modified by: Carter T Butts

Please report errors in award information by writing to: awardsearch@nsf.gov.

Print this page

Back to Top of page