Award Abstract # 1347221
Collaborative Research: GeoChronR - Open-source Tools for the Analysis, Visualization and Integration of Time-Uncertain Geoscientific Data

NSF Org: EAR
Division Of Earth Sciences
Recipient: NORTHERN ARIZONA UNIVERSITY
Initial Amendment Date: July 2, 2014
Latest Amendment Date: July 24, 2015
Award Number: 1347221
Award Instrument: Continuing Grant
Program Manager: David Lambert
EAR
 Division Of Earth Sciences
GEO
 Directorate for Geosciences
Start Date: July 1, 2014
End Date: June 30, 2018 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $369,348.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $369,348.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2014 = $115,322.00
FY 2015 = $254,026.00
History of Investigator:
  • Nicholas McKay (Principal Investigator)
    Nicholas.McKay@nau.edu
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: Northern Arizona University
601 S KNOLES DR RM 220
FLAGSTAFF
AZ  US  86011
(928)523-0886
Sponsor Congressional District: 02
Primary Place of Performance: Northern Arizona University
Flagstaff
Arizona
AZ  US  86011-0001
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
02
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): MXHAS3AKPRN1
Parent UEI:
NSF Program(s): GEOINFORMATICS
Primary Program Source: 01001415DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
01001516DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s):
Program Element Code(s): 725500
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.050

ABSTRACT

This collaborative grant from the Division of Earth Sciences Geoinformatics program will support the development of software tools which will enable Earth scientists to better quantify and analyze how uncertainties in ages influence records of past climate, ecosystems and landscapes. These tools will allow scientists to better integrate these records, and to integrate larger datasets into predictive models. Thus, the tools will facilitate a more thorough understanding of past climate changes, and more rigorous tests of hypotheses regarding Earth?s history. Two workshops will be held to ensure that the community of scientists who may benefit from these tools are provided with training and opportunities to provide feedback to the software development process.

Specifically, the researchers will develop a package of integrated software tools and make these tools broadly available using the open-source and community supported platform ?R?. The tools will enable paleogeoscientists to use state-of-the-art Bayesian and Monte-Carlo-based approaches to quantifying age uncertainties in paleorecords, and allow more rigorous integration of data sets and models with more thorough accounting for age uncertainties. The tools will allow the broad community of paleogeoscience researchers to visualize and archive their data in intuitive and consistent ways. The researchers will apply the tools to a proof-of-concept data recovery effort aimed at archiving primary geochronological information for marine and terrestrial records of Holocene paleoclimate, thereby providing a synthesis and more permanently archive of results from the NSF Earth System History (ESH) Holocene initiative.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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(Showing: 1 - 10 of 12)
Arcusa, Stephanie and Routson, Cody and McKay, Nicholas P. "Spatial and temporal variability of dust deposition in the San Juan Mountains, CO: a network of Late Holocene lake sediment records" Fall meeting of the American Geophysical Union, New Orleans, LA , 2017
Boldt, B. R. and Kaufman, D. S. and McKay, N. P. and Briner, J. P. "Holocene summer temperature reconstruction from sedimentary chlorophyll content, with treatment of age uncertainties, Kurupa Lake, Arctic Alaska" The Holocene , 2015
Boldt, B. R.;Kaufman, D. S.;McKay, N. P.;Briner, J. P. "Holocene summer temperature reconstruction from sedimentary chlorophyll content, with treatment of age uncertainties, Kurupa Lake, Arctic Alaska" The Holocene , 2015
Hu, J., J. Emile-Geay, and J. W. Partin "Correlation-based interpretations of paleoclimate data ? where statistics meet past climates" Earth and Planetary Science Letters , v.459 , 2017 , p.362 10.1016/j.epsl.2016.11.048
McKay, Nicholas P and Emile-Geay, Julien "Technical note: The Linked Paleo Data framework-a common tongue for paleoclimatology" Climate of the Past , v.12 , 2016 , p.1093
McKay, N.P. and the PAGES 2k Consortium "Spatial covariability of temperature and hydroclimate as a function of timescale during the Common Era" AGU Fall Meeting 2017, New Orleans, Louisiana , 2017
Nicholas McKay "GeoChronR and ChronRater" Cyber for Paleo Webinar Series , 2015
Nicholas McKay and Darrell S Kaufman and Paul D. Zander and Cody C. Routson "The timing and amplitude of Holocene Neoglaciation in the Arctic" AGU Fall Meeting 2015, San Francisco, California , 2015
Nicholas McKay and Julien Emile-Geay and the PAGES2k Consortium "A global multiproxy database for temperature reconstructions of the Common Era" AGU Fall Meeting 2015, San Francisco, California , 2015
PAGES 2k Consortium (Emile-Geay 1st Author, McKay 2nd Author) "A global multiproxy database for temperature reconstructions of the Common Era" Scientific Data , 2017
Sejrup, H. P., H. Seppa, McKay, N. P., D. S. Kaufman, A. Geirsdottir, A. de Vernal, H. Renssen, K. Husum, A. Jennings, and J. T. Andrews "North Atlantic- Fennoscandian Holocene climate trends and mechanisms" Quaternary Science Reviews , v.147 , 2016 , p.365
(Showing: 1 - 10 of 12)

PROJECT OUTCOMES REPORT

Disclaimer

This Project Outcomes Report for the General Public is displayed verbatim as submitted by the Principal Investigator (PI) for this award. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this Report are those of the PI and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation; NSF has not approved or endorsed its content.

Paleogeoscientists use natural archives to understand how climate, ecosystems, and environments varied prior to human monitoring. Accurately determining the age of samples is critical to this work, allowing scientists to pinpoint phase relationships between Earth systems and their forcings. There is always uncertainty in timing of these records, which can impact the certainty of the results in a number of ways.


The GeoChronR project is all about developing a framework for quantifying and visualizing the impacts of those uncertainties, and creating an easy-to-use set of uncertainty quantification tools for paleogeoscientists.


The single largest barrier to the development of GeoChronR was the lack of an accepted data standard for the paleogeosciences, especially one that could readily include ensembles of geochronologic or paleoenvironmental data. To meet this need, as well as the broader need in the community for a robust and flexible data standard for the paleogeosciences, we developed the Linked PaleoData (LiPD) Framework, a data model and format that is flexible and extensible enough for broad use across the paleogeosciences.


Since we released the LiPD framework in 2016, we have seen broad adoption of the approach and format, having been used in several, large data synthesis efforts in the paleogeosciences, perhaps most notably, in phase 2 of the Past Global Changes temperature of the past 2,000 years project, which assembled nearly 700 records of past temperature change, all in the LiPD format.


The GeoChronR package - a set of software and visualization tools, written in the freely-available and open-source R language, relies on LiPD data for input, output and as a container for age model ensembles. Once the data are loaded in, users can easily create or input age models, perform common analyses, such as correlation, regression, ordination and spectral analysis on the ensembles, and then visualize the output. Examples and tutorials, such as this one for performing ensemble regression (figure 1), http://lipdverse.org/regression.htm, are fundamental documentation for new users seeking to understand the what is possible in GeoChronR. Over the course of the project, we hosted to training workshop for early career researchers at Northern Arizona University. At the workshop, we trained a diverse array of scientists how to use LiPD and GeoChronR. Many of the attendees have made GeoChronR an integral part of their workflow for their scientific projects, and the number of users continues to grow.


GeoChronR, and LiPD, are collaborative projects, that have continued to expand, both in scope and in the number contributors, over the course of the project. We hope that these both continue to expand in the future as we continue to work with the community to develop, expand and improve these utilities for paleogeoscience community.


 


Last Modified: 10/04/2018
Modified by: Nicholas P Mckay

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