Award Abstract # 1535900
AitF: FULL: Collaborative Research: Modeling and Understanding Complex Influence in Social Networks

NSF Org: CCF
Division of Computing and Communication Foundations
Recipient: THE RESEARCH FOUNDATION FOR THE STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK
Initial Amendment Date: August 13, 2015
Latest Amendment Date: May 16, 2017
Award Number: 1535900
Award Instrument: Standard Grant
Program Manager: Tracy Kimbrel
CCF
 Division of Computing and Communication Foundations
CSE
 Directorate for Computer and Information Science and Engineering
Start Date: September 1, 2015
End Date: August 31, 2019 (Estimated)
Total Intended Award Amount: $356,845.00
Total Awarded Amount to Date: $372,845.00
Funds Obligated to Date: FY 2015 = $356,845.00
FY 2017 = $16,000.00
History of Investigator:
  • Jie Gao (Principal Investigator)
    jg1555@cs.rutgers.edu
  • Jason Jones (Co-Principal Investigator)
Recipient Sponsored Research Office: SUNY at Stony Brook
W5510 FRANKS MELVILLE MEMORIAL LIBRARY
STONY BROOK
NY  US  11794-0001
(631)632-9949
Sponsor Congressional District: 01
Primary Place of Performance: SUNY at Stony Brook
Stony Brook
NY  US  11794-4400
Primary Place of Performance
Congressional District:
01
Unique Entity Identifier (UEI): M746VC6XMNH9
Parent UEI: M746VC6XMNH9
NSF Program(s): Algorithms in the Field,
Algorithmic Foundations
Primary Program Source: 01001516DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
01001718DB NSF RESEARCH & RELATED ACTIVIT
Program Reference Code(s): 012Z, 9251
Program Element Code(s): 723900, 779600
Award Agency Code: 4900
Fund Agency Code: 4900
Assistance Listing Number(s): 47.070

ABSTRACT

Information, beliefs, diseases, technologies, and behaviors propagate through social interactions as a contagion. Understanding of how these contagions spread is crucial in encouraging beneficial and healthy behaviors and discouraging the ones that are destructive and damaging. Rigorous, mathematical understanding of complex social contagions is not just an abstraction, but will guide applications from healthcare to word-of-mouth advertising. The technical content of this project is inherently interdisciplinary, and its lessons will apply to related fields such as probability, economics, sociology, and statistical physics. The research efforts are integrated with the educational and outreach activities of the PIs, who have strong records of broadly disseminating cutting-edge research to high school, undergraduate, and graduate students through teaching, outreach programs, and personal mentoring.

This project will transform our understanding of social contagions by: 1) Developing a suite of technical tools to enable improved understanding of specific complex processes; 2) Determining how various parameters of cascade and social structure together impact the chances of a cascade's success or failure; and 3) Obtaining empirical evidence to both corroborate the theoretical findings, and uncover the space of realistic setting for certain parameters.

Many existing models of contagion assume that increasing the number of infected (or affected) neighbors marginally decreases the chance of infection. Many contagions, such as adoption of expensive new technology, fail to have this property, but instead have more complex rules for infection. This leads to different spreading behaviors even on the same networks. Motivated by sociology research findings, this project will greatly enhance our understanding of social contagions in three aspects. First this project will provide rigorous study of the spreading behavior of a simplified theoretical model called k-complex contagions and its interactions with structures in the underlying graph such as tie strength, unusually influential nodes, and community structures. Second, this project presents a general model for studying cascades that is both theoretically tractable and practically motivated. The general model generalizes most previous theoretical models of complex and simple contagions and includes homophily and environmental factors on cascades. Finally, this project will use post-hoc analysis as well as real world social experiments to verify the veracity of the model and fit the parameters in different settings.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH

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Aria Rezaei, Jie Gao "On the Privacy of Socially Contagious Attributes" Proceedings of the 19th IEEE International Conference on Data Mining (ICDM'19) , 2019
Jie Gao, Bo Li, Grant Schoenebeck, Fang-Yi Yu "Engineering Agreement: The Naming Game with Asymmetric and Heterogeneous Agents" Proceedings of the 31st AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-17) , 2017 , p.537
Jie Gao, Grant Schoenebeck, Fang-Yi Yu "The Volatility of Weak Ties: Co-evolution of Selection and Influence in Social Networks" Proceedings of the 18th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS 2019) , 2019 , p.619
Laura K. Gee and Jason J. Jones and Moira Burke "Social Networks and Labor Markets: How Strong Ties Relate to Job Finding On Facebook's Social Network" Journal of Labor Economics , 2016 10.1086/686225
Roozbeh Ebrahimi, Jie Gao, Golnaz Ghasemiesfeh, Grant Schoenbeck "Complex Contagions in Preferential Attachment Models and Other Time-Evolving Networks" IEEE Transactions on Network Science and Engineering , v.4 , 2017 , p.201-214

PROJECT OUTCOMES REPORT

Disclaimer

This Project Outcomes Report for the General Public is displayed verbatim as submitted by the Principal Investigator (PI) for this award. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this Report are those of the PI and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation; NSF has not approved or endorsed its content.

Human activity is embedded in a network of social interactions, which can spread information, beliefs, diseases, technologies, and behaviors.  A better understanding of these social interactions promises a better understanding of and the ability to influence a wide range of phenomena -- financial practices, healthy/unhealthy habits, and voting practices, to name a few. 

Many cascade models have been proposed. In these models, there is a set of nodes on a network, and some set of these nodes start off "infected". Over time infected nodes may influence their neighbors to become infected. Centola and Macy in 2007 proposed to classify the myriad models of cascades by dividing them into just two categories: simple and complex.  The differentiating feature of complex contagion, compared to simple contagions is that complex contagions require reinforcement from multiple social contacts, while simple contagions only require one social contact. 

Simple and complex contagions differ substantially in how they spread in a social network. In simple contagions, there is no synergy.  A node's influence is only eroded by other nodes. In contrast, in a complex cascade the marginal probability of being infected may increase as more neighbors are infected. As a consequence of that, simple contagions often spread fast in the network and such spreading is robust under the choices of parameters and network models. However, the spreading of complex contagion is much more delicate with fast spreading crucially depending on the network structures.

This project is devoted to a deeper understanding of the behavior of complex contagions and its dependency on a range of parameters: the choice of network models, the placement of initial seeds, and the choice of parameters in the contagion models. We have performed rigorous analysis on many well known network models such as the small world models and graph models with power law degree distribution. In addition, we also explicitly confirmed the existence of complex contagions, in charitable donation. We designed and ran controlled experiments on Mechanical Turk to observer how people respond to donation requests with different conditions on how others behaved. This confirmed that charitable donation is contagious -- that others donating will encourage one to donate -- and the decision of donating or not is a simple one, but which charity will receive the donation is a complex one. This is also the first time that complex contagion is explicitly observed and measured. 

These findings are of theoretical importance to understanding complex contagion and of practical importance to many real world applications such as organizations wishing to maximize donations. 


Last Modified: 12/16/2019
Modified by: Jie Gao

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