Remarks by Eamon Kelly, Chairman National Science Board and Committee on Strategic Science and Engineering Policy Issues Symposium on International Models for S&T Budget Coordination and Priority Setting 11/19/99 (as presented) I want to welcome you today on behalf of the National Science Board and especially on behalf of the Committee on Strategic Science and Engineering Policy Issues. Other Committee members with us today are Bob Richardson, Anita Jones and Joseph Miller. This committee and the cosponsor of the Symposium, the Task Force on International Issues in Science and Engineering, are delighted that our guests from Brazil, the European Union, France, Germany, Japan, the Republic of Korea, Sweden and the United Kingdom accepted our invitation to convene and discuss R&D budget coordination and priority setting methodologies. Recently, the significance of science and technology in the global context has grown dramatically. As a result, there has been an expansion of government sponsored scientific cooperation as well as cooperation in science and technology in the private sector. The global economy that emerged in the second half of the 20th century, resting on a highly articulated communication and information infrastructure, increasingly relies on knowledge and innovation for its growth and for its core processes. We find ourselves confronted with the realization that the future world economy will be fueled by breakthroughs in knowledge enabled by research, and by the ability to rapidly bring new knowledge to bear in practical applications. The impact of small steps and transcendent leaps in knowledge over the last half-century, as well as the rapidity of changes in the technology base, are abundantly evident in our daily lives. These demonstrable achievements of our science and technology enterprise have created vast new areas of economic activity, economic prosperity and growth, and improved the quality of life. There is every reason to believe that our continued investment in knowledge and innovation will yield even more spectacular advances in the next century, and, indeed, in the next decade. The growing international focus on research investments reflects a widely shared conviction that new knowledge is perhaps the single most important driver of economic growth, and the most precious and fully renewable resource available to individuals and societies to advance their material well-being. The continued strength in the growing high technology sectors of the global economy rests on robust investment in basic research. Stable, strong support for research across the frontiers of science and engineering ensures a deep reservoir of knowledge, and provides flexibility and choices for addressing future needs. As technology has become central to economic health, wise government investments in our national and international S&T enterprise have become more critical. Widespread recognition of the economic and social relevance of science and technology has resulted in demands for better accountability for investments of public funds in R&D. This accountability includes better planning to identify and articulate goals for R&D programs, better methods for making allocation decisions among competing claims on public funds, and better feedback on the social returns to public investments. The Board has devoted considerable attention to this issue in the recent past, with special attention to public investments in fundamental science and engineering. It joins a chorus of governmental and nongovernmental organizations that have argued for greater coherence in allocating government funds for R&D. A number of organizations both within and outside of our government, such as the National Research Council of our National Academies of Science, Engineering, and Institute of Medicine, the National Science and Technology Council in the White House, and the U.S. Congress have begun efforts to lay a foundation for a better paradigm for public R&D investments. The Board recognizes that this effort is difficult and controversial, particularly where allocations across fields of fundamental science are concerned. By definition, breakthroughs in fundamental knowledge cannot be predicted in advance. There is substantial concern that the drive for greater coherence in the system for R&D budget allocations can result in pressure to invest in areas requiring short-term investments that are most likely to produce quick results. High risk, high payoff research requiring long-term investment could be put at a disadvantage in the competition for research funds. However, the Board is convinced that the development of an intellectually well founded and broadly accepted methodology for setting priorities across fields of science and engineering is a prerequisite for a coherent and comprehensive Federal allocation process for research. It is in the interest of science itself that scientists actively participate in the strategies and methodologies used in this process, and provide political decision-makers with the understanding and tools that will maintain the vigor, flexibility, and creativity of the enterprise. As a first step toward accomplishing this task, the Committee on Strategic Science and Engineering Policy Issues is undertaking a state-of-the-art assessment of methodologies for priority setting for research, including an examination of the experiences of other countries. This study includes the consideration of what mechanisms will be effective in building broad public and scientific support for, and involvement in, priority setting. We are eager to learn from you, our colleagues, your experience with "what works" in allocating public funds for R&D, and how you measure the results of your investments. We also hope you will share with us important negative findings, as well as positive findings, from your experience. We thank you for joining us in this enterprise, and look forward to a stimulating discussion with you over the next day and a half.